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@CryptoKaleo · καλέω: to call This is my journal Co-Founder - @LedgArt_io
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
35
Top 65% · #7 of 10 ranked
Scored calls
62
13 pending · 1 unresolved
Hit rate
47.7%
21 correct / 23 incorrect · 18 neutral
Avg return / call
-2.49%
Avg return per call (each call's stated horizon)
Following every call
-154.3%
Equal stake on all 62 calls resolved in the last 30 days
Mean alpha
-5.50%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (38) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 15% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 37.7% | 59 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −331.4% | 0 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -5.50% | 0 | 25% |
By month resolved · Stated horizon
45 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“final list of companies getting cut from MSCI indexes will be published 11/11 and won't go into effect until 11/30... imo if MSTR is on that list, majority of downside happens well before 11/30 and late November / early December end up being an optimal place to max bid”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
93 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.15 | 48 | 25% |
30 days · stated
“@AoTpokerplayer win some trades and lose others! but - if that stretch showed anything, it's that $STRC can depeg during extreme volatility... so why not short it and collect a premium while having almost zero liquidation risk vs. trying to short BTC for a hedge against bearish price action?”
“Honestly even if funding is negative... you pay a calculated premium for a hedge against extreme downside market volatility vs. a more variable rate trying to short almost any other asset”
“Best hedge (in my opinion) for the market taking one last leg down is a 10X short on $STRC on HyperLiquid as long as funding is positive and the price is anywhere in the $99 range for an entry. As long as the peg remains near $100 and the market is bullish, you'll actually most likely print a higher APY than just holding STRC... Odds of getting liquidated are practically zero due to Strategy printing more STRC anytime it hits $100. And if the market does happen to crash and STRC depegs again, you get all of the upside of that move. So you basically get a free hedge for extreme downside volatility vs. trying to short Bitcoin and dealing with potential losses if the market rips higher. You're welcome.”
“#Bitcoin / $BTC So when should you consider going more risk on? Historically the answer would be shortly after US midterm elections, which marked the bear market lows in each of the previous cycles. Not saying the market sells off aggressively immediately after printing new lows this time like it did the others, but I think it's a decent bet we'll see a lot of volatility leading up to and shortly after November 3rd. e.g. as bullish as I am here, why I don't think being in levered long positions makes sense... it makes a hell of a lot more sense to sit in spot positions you have a solid thesis for that you can keep stacking regardless of what the market does. We're still early enough int he bull market that whether we send immediately or if we wait a couple of months to start sending, you should print multiples fairly easily soon enough by just stacking and being patient. And if we somehow get any sort of a dip - being liquid enough to stack your highest conviction names = a truly generational entry. So don't gamble and risk sidelining yourself if your thesis is right - but your timing isn't. Patient bulls will continue to win.”
“#Bitcoin / bitcoin:native Send it to $100K+ with haste. You’re not bullish enough. https://t.co/O6o66TVI4F”
“$PONS is still free here. Insane we’re barely in the first inning of the greatest bull market we’ll see in our lifetimes and people are already trying to call it dead. https://t.co/yAzMlvuFhX”
“$HMM Really think it’s as simple as break above resistance here and initiate the next leg higher https://t.co/MSx82hEg9t”
“@0xAvast Hmm 🤔🐈 Bullieve in something”
“@imcryptochino This is more than ideal for $hmm I remember the last time you said it was in trouble it pulled a 10x in a week 😭😭”
“Imagine thinking the trenches are dead when Bitcoin and Ethereum both look ready to rip and are still far off all time highs. Don’t complain about never catching a green candle / being early when things are good again if you’re afraid to buy the blood when things look bad.”
“Imagine thinking the trenches are dead when Bitcoin and Ethereum both look ready to rip and are still far off all time highs. Don’t complain about never catching a green candle / being early when things are good again if you’re afraid to buy the blood when things look bad.”
“#Ethereum / $ETH HMM… I CAN FEEL IT IN MY BONES GOD CANDLE SZN 🤔 https://t.co/dwRMLGOfT9 https://t.co/9sBox9dDmC”
“#Ethereum / $ETH Bullieve. https://t.co/0LPqvVduuC”
“#Bitcoin / $BTC Next leg up is a god candle straight past $100K to retest all time highs. Uptober is real. https://t.co/ZhxmUE2xoD”