@CryptoMichNL · CIO & Founder @MNFund_ and @MNCapital_vc | Host of @new_era_finance | Macro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading | Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 21 Oct 2026
Caller Score
71
Top 30% · #7 of 22 ranked
Scored calls
402
0 pending · 16 unresolved
Hit rate
50.3%
198 correct / 196 incorrect · 8 neutral
Avg 1h return / call
+0.12%
Avg return per call (1 hour horizon)
Following every call
+49.1%
Equal stake on all 402 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
+0.14%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (63) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 28% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 49.9% | 39 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −16.0% | 21 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +0.14% | 64 | 25% |
By month resolved · 1 hour horizon
1075 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“If this dips further, then anything beneath $75,700 is essentially a steal for #Bitcoin. https://t.co/aQvyIxaNJV”
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| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
100 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.25 | 85 | 25% |
All time · 1h
“Clearly the reason why the markets are selling off. #Bitcoin is now looking to sweep the lows. It's a volatile 48 hours, as we've got the Clarity Act and the FOMC meeting. If there's a further dip, I'm willing to buy this. https://t.co/M4JU9NVCCx”
“Unfortunately, #Bitcoin isn't holding $78,000. This means that we might be looking at a deeper sweep before we continue to go up (although we're stuck in the range). It starts to look a lot like the price action we've seen at the end of August. Chop, chop, sweep of the low and then push upwards.”
“Indeed, $78,000 is the crucial trigger. Massive breakout on the horizon and this won't stop soon. #Bitcoin is in a bull market. https://t.co/DxzdevHZsL”
“I'm looking at a bullish continuation for #Bitcoin here. Mentioned it earlier, but we need to be looking at $78,000 as support. As long as that happens, we're likely going to see a strong move upwards to $81,000 from here. https://t.co/o5wpj0H6AF”
“So far, so good on $ETH. Massive sweep upwards and a retest holding for support, which means that we're likely going to see more continuation back towards the highs. Especially with the Clarity Act, I would expect Ethereum to outperform Bitcoin. https://t.co/1bRLeDtwTA”
“Quite a big week coming up, isn't it? - Clarity Act vote. - FOMC meeting. - BOJ. All of these factors are going to move the markets, so I'd be looking to stay relatively calm on the leverage side of things on $BTC. Other than that, with this bounce upwards, it seems very likely that we're going to chase for longs.”
“Very clean retest of $ETH here after this breakout. As long as that retest at $2,460 holds as support, I doubt we'll see lower numbers. Most likely, we'll start to see momentum towards the $3,000 levels. https://t.co/lTvOezvKBQ”
“Monitoring the chart on #Bitcoin tells my gut that we're most likely not going to fall that deep. Effectively, we're currently at range low and #Altcoins are showing some interesting signs that they want to proceed again. #Bitcoin needs to reclaim $78,000, but once that happens, we might be in for the next rally towards $90,000 over the next few weeks. (And yes, if this corrects to $74,000, because $78,000 doesn't break, I'm still buying)”
“It's not different. The markets are, once again, providing a massive opportunity for people to be getting themselves positioned into #Bitcoin. The thing with investing is that you'll need to be testing your patience maximally, but not to the extreme. What I mean by that is that we've just had a period where Bitcoin was the most undervalued in history. Yet, most people wanted to still wait for a deeper correction to happen. However, I don't think we'll go as low anymore, we still have a phenomenal opportunity to be buying #Bitcoin cheaply here and, in the grand scheme of things, in the next 3-5 years you'll still be happy if you bought Bitcoin sub $80,000.”
“'You were expecting #Bitcoin to go up, but now it's falling.' I was assuming we would, however, I also marked that eventually we'll be seeing a test at the $74,500 areas (or the range lows) before we find enough strength to be going up again. It's looking like we're getting that, and I would advice people to simply not panic. We'll probably start to hear way more sounds of 'Bitcoin goes to $60,000' and 'the bear market should continue'. That's not the case. These corrections are just very natural for the markets to be happening.”
“Wouldn’t be surprised to be seeing a low to be made early in the week and we’ll proceed back upwards after that. We’re in a bull market and I’ve marked the $74,000 level for a long time on #Bitcoin already. Corrections will be shallow, but if you get it, you need to take the bet.”
“#Bitcoin looks to be testing the range low in the coming few days and that's essentially a great spot to be looking for longs. It's not as difficult as it is. Trend is down, likely a test of the lows and potentially even a test of $74,500. That's been the area where I'd want to become interested for a long time already, so if that comes, I'll be bidding.”
“#Bitcoin is in the stage where you'd want to see a slight consolidation here. After that consolidation, the next impulse upwards is towards $90,000 and potentially even $92,000. The thing with bull markets is that you'd quite often aren't getting deep retraces. Much rather, you'll have short consolidations and corrections where price stagnates sideways.”
“This looks quite well on $ETHFI. The reason that it starts to move upwards is actually great; it's because DeFi finally starts to make a strong comeback. I would assume that we're going to see a strong continuation here. If I'd be interested into buying the dip, it would be the $0.66 area and then I'd be targeting the $1.30 high.”