@CryptoMichNL · CIO & Founder @MNFund_ and @MNCapital_vc | Host of @new_era_finance | Macro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading | Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 21 Oct 2026
Caller Score
71
Top 30% · #7 of 22 ranked
Scored calls
401
1 pending · 16 unresolved
Hit rate
52.4%
209 correct / 190 incorrect · 2 neutral
Avg 24h return / call
+0.36%
Avg return per call (24 hour horizon)
Following every call
+144.8%
Equal stake on all 401 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
+0.28%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (69) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 28% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 52.4% | 82 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −50.4% | 27 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +0.28% | 64 | 25% |
By month resolved · 24 hours horizon
1077 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“This is not bearish. It's the opposite and it's a new way of QE or increasing the money supply in the system without impacting the balance sheet. Hard assets will resume the bull market if this happens, which means that $100,000 for #Bitcoin is not far away. https://t.co/Wy4m279Zh7”
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| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
97 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.10 | 73 | 25% |
All time · 24h
“In hindsight, every bottom will look easy. In the actual moment, every bottom feels the hardest to buy. This time, it was so evident. Similarly with #Altcoins. The technical signals have been there, the fundamental reasons have been there, yet, most didn't dare to be buying into it. Well, we're just getting started on #Bitcoin.”
“Herzlich gutentag, I'll be buying the dips on $ETH, if there's going to be one. https://t.co/Yab0goTGHp”
“Straight candle towards $81,000 after flipping $78,000 for support. What a phenomenal chart it is. Very likely the markets are proceeding towards $90,000 from here. Where to buy? I think if its going <$79,000 I'll be building a very strong position into #Bitcoin. https://t.co/H5vchLmeo0”
“It's very simple. Any flip in this level at $76,700 for #Bitcoin is a phenomenal long entry to the range high. Markets are bullish. https://t.co/3cogUQKa2B”
“I agree with @fundstrat here. We might be in for one of the strongest runs in history of crypto in Q4. What would you do if #Bitcoin runs to $100,000+ in the coming quarter? https://t.co/AgjNfeSK4z”
“Phenomenal post from Matt. It's not about the Clarity Act. Many investors think it is, but they build a narrative about something that's actually not a narrative. #Bitcoin has gone up 38% while the odds of approval of the Clarity Act went down. That's why we see the current strength on the markets. (Sure, we can still go to $74,000, but we're not swimming around cycle lows anymore)”
“$ETH remains to be in a beautiful accumulation area, where I'd expect it to be breaking upwards in the coming period. Regulation will come for digital assets, maybe not through the Clarity Act, but for sure through a different way. https://t.co/4QzA7AOCI5”
“Cutting rates would be incredibly bad for markets. Holding steady would be ok. Hiking rates effectively increases QE, so #Bitcoin can rally. https://t.co/B7ezF2p5cF”
“There's always a huge question of whether we'll be seeing an altseason ever again. We've just seen a strong expansion in selective assets: $HYPE, $ZEC, $LIT, $VVV and $NEAR is starting. The reason that it's selective is just a liquidity thing. As long as there's not much liquidity in the markets, you'll have selective runners. In order to get more liquidity, #Bitcoin needs to move higher.”
“Investing into #Altcoins can be quite tricky. Why? Volatility is extreme, and you could have the impression that it's going to do absolutely nothing. The opposite is true for $SUI. I'm going to dive into the technicals in this post, because those are signaling the actual move is on the horizon, and that those moves usually take time. However, once they start to happen, that's when you need to be positioned into the asset as these moves are going to be super violent. The 3-Day $BTC chart looks primed for a big breakout upwards. The bullish divergence is not only visible on the 3-day chart, but also on the 1-Week and 1-Day charts. Those are higher timeframes, meaning that those breakouts are about to be happening, but could be taking weeks or even months to be playing out. Yes, that can be stressful, especially when price keeps falling while the technicals are showing up with higher lows. We've seen this price behavior prior to the breakout of Arbitrum and that one has been moving strongly in recent weeks. Additionally, it's just a few weeks away from SUI Basecamp as they'll be planning to be doing massive announcements, meaning that the ecosystem is constantly expanding. During such a time, you'll find that you'll be seeing a strong mispricing taking place. You'll ask yourself: 'Huh, why is there more activity in the ecosystem, however, there's no breakout to the upside when it comes to the underlying token?' Yes, that takes a bit of time, but once it comes, it will happen quickly. The second chart is the SUI price vs. the Dollar. Similar construction as what we've seen with $SUI vs. Bitcoin. Strong bullish divergences are being applied on the MACD and on the RSI. Again, those divergences are going to take time before they'll be played out, but once they do, it will be great. Overall, these divergences can also be found on the weekly and on the daily chart. I think that the SUI ecosystem is one of the strongest ecosystems. Sure, they've had their flaws, but that's normal. It's not like anything is perfect from the start. However, this is one of the strongest teams in the entire industry and that's why I think that accumulating this asset here is the right thing to do.”
“Rejection at the $76,200 area, means that we're going down further with #Bitcoin. That's fine. We're looking at a technical correction and we're about to sweep those lows again and potentially get to $74,000. That's where I'm going to be interested. https://t.co/kkRN8fpQwl”
“This is the area where I'm getting interested on the markets, as #Bitcoin sweeps the lows here. I'm more or less most interest if this goes to $74,000 as that's been my preferred area all along. Sweep of the lows done, fear is in the markets, and we most likey get a ton of short liquidity in the markets now too.”
“I'm positively surprised by the price action of #Bitcoin so far. Not dumping through, little bounce back upwards. Everyone, their mother, their cousin and their grandmom are currently shorting #Bitcoin as a shock event, but I don't think that's the play when we've been sweeping the lows.”
“We keep on falling down with the markets and #Bitcoin as this continues. With this speed, Bitcoin hits $74,000 prior to the vote and will bounce back massively once it hits 'APPROVED' tonight. https://t.co/qodrYJlRTE”