@CryptoMichNL · CIO & Founder @MNFund_ and @MNCapital_vc | Host of @new_era_finance | Macro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading | Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 21 Oct 2026
Caller Score
66
Top 34% · #8 of 22 ranked
Scored calls
401
1 pending · 16 unresolved
Hit rate
52.4%
209 correct / 190 incorrect · 2 neutral
Avg 24h return / call
+0.36%
Avg return per call (24 hour horizon)
Following every call
+144.8%
Equal stake on all 401 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
+0.28%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (69) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 28% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 52.4% | 82 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −50.4% | 27 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +0.28% | 64 | 25% |
By month resolved · 24 hours horizon
1077 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“A scenario where there's a classic sweep of the lows, just before the Clarity Act gets approved, and the bull resumes afterwards. I'd buy that. It's going to be super volatile coming few days for #Bitcoin. https://t.co/5fxtIX7e4d”
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| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
97 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.10 | 73 | 25% |
All time · 24h
“Let the party begin. The drop is already taking place prior to the vote of the Clarity Act. I'd appreciate it if this goes <$75,700 honestly for #Bitcoin. Let's see what this brings! https://t.co/l4WEaJZmQR https://t.co/3vyVic6FXt”
“If this dips further, then anything beneath $75,700 is essentially a steal for #Bitcoin. https://t.co/aQvyIxaNJV”
“Clearly the reason why the markets are selling off. #Bitcoin is now looking to sweep the lows. It's a volatile 48 hours, as we've got the Clarity Act and the FOMC meeting. If there's a further dip, I'm willing to buy this. https://t.co/M4JU9NVCCx”
“Unfortunately, #Bitcoin isn't holding $78,000. This means that we might be looking at a deeper sweep before we continue to go up (although we're stuck in the range). It starts to look a lot like the price action we've seen at the end of August. Chop, chop, sweep of the low and then push upwards.”
“Indeed, $78,000 is the crucial trigger. Massive breakout on the horizon and this won't stop soon. #Bitcoin is in a bull market. https://t.co/DxzdevHZsL”
“I'm looking at a bullish continuation for #Bitcoin here. Mentioned it earlier, but we need to be looking at $78,000 as support. As long as that happens, we're likely going to see a strong move upwards to $81,000 from here. https://t.co/o5wpj0H6AF”
“So far, so good on $ETH. Massive sweep upwards and a retest holding for support, which means that we're likely going to see more continuation back towards the highs. Especially with the Clarity Act, I would expect Ethereum to outperform Bitcoin. https://t.co/1bRLeDtwTA”
“Quite a big week coming up, isn't it? - Clarity Act vote. - FOMC meeting. - BOJ. All of these factors are going to move the markets, so I'd be looking to stay relatively calm on the leverage side of things on $BTC. Other than that, with this bounce upwards, it seems very likely that we're going to chase for longs.”
“Very clean retest of $ETH here after this breakout. As long as that retest at $2,460 holds as support, I doubt we'll see lower numbers. Most likely, we'll start to see momentum towards the $3,000 levels. https://t.co/lTvOezvKBQ”
“Monitoring the chart on #Bitcoin tells my gut that we're most likely not going to fall that deep. Effectively, we're currently at range low and #Altcoins are showing some interesting signs that they want to proceed again. #Bitcoin needs to reclaim $78,000, but once that happens, we might be in for the next rally towards $90,000 over the next few weeks. (And yes, if this corrects to $74,000, because $78,000 doesn't break, I'm still buying)”
“It's not different. The markets are, once again, providing a massive opportunity for people to be getting themselves positioned into #Bitcoin. The thing with investing is that you'll need to be testing your patience maximally, but not to the extreme. What I mean by that is that we've just had a period where Bitcoin was the most undervalued in history. Yet, most people wanted to still wait for a deeper correction to happen. However, I don't think we'll go as low anymore, we still have a phenomenal opportunity to be buying #Bitcoin cheaply here and, in the grand scheme of things, in the next 3-5 years you'll still be happy if you bought Bitcoin sub $80,000.”
“'You were expecting #Bitcoin to go up, but now it's falling.' I was assuming we would, however, I also marked that eventually we'll be seeing a test at the $74,500 areas (or the range lows) before we find enough strength to be going up again. It's looking like we're getting that, and I would advice people to simply not panic. We'll probably start to hear way more sounds of 'Bitcoin goes to $60,000' and 'the bear market should continue'. That's not the case. These corrections are just very natural for the markets to be happening.”
“Wouldn’t be surprised to be seeing a low to be made early in the week and we’ll proceed back upwards after that. We’re in a bull market and I’ve marked the $74,000 level for a long time on #Bitcoin already. Corrections will be shallow, but if you get it, you need to take the bet.”
“#Bitcoin looks to be testing the range low in the coming few days and that's essentially a great spot to be looking for longs. It's not as difficult as it is. Trend is down, likely a test of the lows and potentially even a test of $74,500. That's been the area where I'd want to become interested for a long time already, so if that comes, I'll be bidding.”