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@CryptoMichNL · CIO & Founder @MNFund_ and @MNCapital_vc | Host of @new_era_finance | Macro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading | Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 21 Oct 2026
Caller Score
75
Top 25% · #5 of 18 ranked
Scored calls
212
1 pending · 3 unresolved
Hit rate
54.0%
114 correct / 97 incorrect · 1 neutral
Avg 24h return / call
+0.71%
Avg return per call (24 hour horizon)
Following every call
+149.5%
Equal stake on all 212 calls resolved in the last 90 days
Mean alpha
+0.43%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (66) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 20% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 53.0% | 91 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −38.0% | 25 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +0.43% | 38 | 25% |
By month resolved · 24 hours horizon
542 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“It's only a matter of time until $ETH breaks upwards. https://t.co/Kn3CeAh99S”
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| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
94 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.14 | 84 | 25% |
90 days · 24h
“This is correct. Stay in the game. Buy the dip on #Bitcoin and #Altcoins. Improve your trading, and spend the time right now. The coming 12-24 months will be changing your life. https://t.co/QBRqPpA26t”
“The most obvious retest of the markets at the previous high. It's holding for #Bitcoin. However, most of the people will be left behind, as they'll wait for $40,000 to come. And if $40,000 hits, they'll wait for $25,000 to come. End result: they'll buy higher. https://t.co/p62drGLSz0”
“$SOL holds an important level of support, indicating that it's made a higher low and is strengthening for the next push upwards to $120. https://t.co/ZXVa766RUm”
“Extremely boring price action on #Bitcoin. Despite the small drop today, it's still at $65,000. If this continues to happen, we're likely going to see the breakout later this month. Boring summer remains. https://t.co/yqLWNojsJ4”
“Gold continues to show its strength, as commodities are continuing their momentum. I don't think it will stall, we'll likely see $4,500 and potentially even $5,000. However, I do think we'll see a stronger move on #Bitcoin occur. https://t.co/PKbo8rDRUb”
“Funny how the entire world seems to be getting into a more difficult place, and #Bitcoin refuses to go down more. This is the time to accumulate, not when things are 'lower'. https://t.co/Ryz9dZymNS”
“The most obvious case would be to see a strong breakout on the markets in the Summer, with $ETH leading the pack. Just when nobody expects it, the markets are doing it. https://t.co/uxLHtCDuxS”
“Honestly, if $BTC breaks upwards, I'd assume we're seeing a significantly stronger breakout on $ETH rather than Bitcoin. https://t.co/3FPO9aOlnD”
“#Bitcoin is still stuck in the middle of this pack, and I think it's not many days before we're going to see a volatile breakout. I'd assume that we're going to see this happen and that it requires to break through the recent high in order to accelerate, which means: $65,000+. Once that happens, first level to stall on: $67,000 and #Altcoins to start waking up.”
“A matter of time until this breakout happens and $ETH trends to $2,300-2,500. https://t.co/hVQvAuqu5j”
“$ETH continues to show strength as it aims to break higher against #Bitcoin. https://t.co/fGRNe91Ado”
“The best strategy, this is what the rich guys are doing. Accumulating the largest altcoins: - $ETH - $LINK - $AAVE - $ENA Perhaps this guy knows more about the Clarity Act or he's a smart technical trader. Anyways, this is the strategy. https://t.co/7G7AB2Mi78”
“The markets are in the same state of mind as the end of 2022 for #Bitcoin. A strong weekly bullish divergence vs. the S&P 500 indicating that #Bitcoin is on edge to be outperforming the index over the coming years. https://t.co/x9SsuoxkT9”
“#Bitcoin remains to have the same picture. Anything sub $66,000-67,000 is just noise, or, when it drops sub $60,000, it becomes a great opportunity to be accumulating a position. Anything in between: boring. https://t.co/Z0mHK7jtns”