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@CryptoMichNL · CIO & Founder @MNFund_ and @MNCapital_vc | Host of @new_era_finance | Macro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading | Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
81
Top 19% · #4 of 18 ranked
Scored calls
213
2 pending · 3 unresolved
Hit rate
55.7%
59 correct / 47 incorrect · 107 neutral
Avg 24h return / call
+0.71%
Avg return per call (24 hour horizon)
Following every call
+150.2%
Equal stake on all 213 calls resolved in the last 90 days
Mean alpha
+0.44%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (67) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 20% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 55.2% | 94 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −39.0% | 25 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +0.44% | 38 | 25% |
By month resolved · 24 hours horizon
539 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“The problem is not whether you should be selling your positions. The problem is getting into them when they start to fire. That's why you can still accumulate #Altcoins at low valuations. Once they go, you're too late, minimal opportunities arise. $SUI is still fairly low valued. Many coins within the $ETH ecosystem. RWA tokens are undervalued; ethereum:0xfaba6f8e4a5e8ab82f62fe7c39859fa577269be3 and $PLUME. $SOL is undervalued. So many narratives yet to move.”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
94 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.14 | 84 | 25% |
90 days · 24h
“#Bitcoin doesn't give many deep retraces in a bull market. Most likely it will be swift ones and then the momentum just continues. Stack more sats through #Altcoins and simply hold.”
“It's very clear for #Bitcoin. There's still one high to crack and then we should be worried about a potential leverage drop. That's at $82,300. Until then? Enjoy the party. https://t.co/3JeMXEhRhb”
“#Bitcoin will outperform over the course of the next 1-2 years. https://t.co/WbMLSjq0Hy”
“It's the same period as we've seen at the end of 2022 - beginning of 2023. We should normally see a case where we'd be going back upwards on #Bitcoin nicely to potentially $100,000 and stall from there. What's left? Yes, #Altcoins outperforming. https://t.co/7Of3KPdt2y”
“#Bitcoin is doing great as it's back again at the range highs. I'm not sure whether we'll stick with that for now. My main scenario is: - We'll test the recent high. - We'll consolidate for a little bit. - We'll have a leverage liquidity flush on #Altcoins and a correction on #Bitcoin. That drop, to, maybe $79,000 or perhaps $78,200, that's the one that I'd be bidding.”
“The #Bitcoin bottom is in. https://t.co/uI3XaKbUH6”
“This was a lot of fun, thanks for having me @jennyukim_bnb. Yes, this is the last easy cycle. I'm going to make the most of it, as after this cycle, it won't be easy anymore. Accumulate more #Bitcoin. Trade more #Altcoins. https://t.co/QeXtShF2l9”
“This is not bearish. It's the opposite and it's a new way of QE or increasing the money supply in the system without impacting the balance sheet. Hard assets will resume the bull market if this happens, which means that $100,000 for #Bitcoin is not far away. https://t.co/Wy4m279Zh7”
“In hindsight, every bottom will look easy. In the actual moment, every bottom feels the hardest to buy. This time, it was so evident. Similarly with #Altcoins. The technical signals have been there, the fundamental reasons have been there, yet, most didn't dare to be buying into it. Well, we're just getting started on #Bitcoin.”
“Herzlich gutentag, I'll be buying the dips on $ETH, if there's going to be one. https://t.co/Yab0goTGHp”
“Straight candle towards $81,000 after flipping $78,000 for support. What a phenomenal chart it is. Very likely the markets are proceeding towards $90,000 from here. Where to buy? I think if its going <$79,000 I'll be building a very strong position into #Bitcoin. https://t.co/H5vchLmeo0”
“It's very simple. Any flip in this level at $76,700 for #Bitcoin is a phenomenal long entry to the range high. Markets are bullish. https://t.co/3cogUQKa2B”
“I agree with @fundstrat here. We might be in for one of the strongest runs in history of crypto in Q4. What would you do if #Bitcoin runs to $100,000+ in the coming quarter? https://t.co/AgjNfeSK4z”
“Phenomenal post from Matt. It's not about the Clarity Act. Many investors think it is, but they build a narrative about something that's actually not a narrative. #Bitcoin has gone up 38% while the odds of approval of the Clarity Act went down. That's why we see the current strength on the markets. (Sure, we can still go to $74,000, but we're not swimming around cycle lows anymore)”