@CryptoMichNL · CIO & Founder @MNFund_ and @MNCapital_vc | Host of @new_era_finance | Macro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading | Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 22 Oct 2026
Caller Score
57
Top 43% · #10 of 22 ranked
Scored calls
402
0 pending · 16 unresolved
Hit rate
48.9%
195 correct / 204 incorrect · 3 neutral
Avg 4h return / call
+0.06%
Avg return per call (4 hour horizon)
Following every call
+22.6%
Equal stake on all 402 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
+0.08%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (50) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 28% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 48.5% | 33 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −32.5% | 24 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +0.08% | 52 | 25% |
By month resolved · 4 hours horizon
1077 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“@CryptoJelleNL For some reason, I think we'll break back above it in the coming weeks. It simply doesn't feel that we clearly broke beneath it.”
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| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
100 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.07 | 48 | 25% |
All time · 4h
“@QuintenFrancois Yes, 100%. Actually, I do believe that crypto is the only asset that makes sense to invest in at these prices.”
“Great post by Saylor on his program, and therefore, the a great bounce on $STRC today. Slowly, but surely, the fear should start to fade away and the markets should be getting back to equilibrium. https://t.co/2gqVceRFSN”
“Phenomenal chart and read on the current market status of #Bitcoin and altcoins. We're in the middle of a harsh correction on #Bitcoin, although we're also in the middle of an entire bull run on Bitcoin. The business cycle is already waking up, but Bitcoin isn't and the sole reason for that is due to the fear we've just seen and are seeing surrounding Michael Saylor's Strategy. The moment that this fades away, I wouldn't be surprised to see the markets catch up with this and move quickly.”
“We're deep in the bear market, and everyone is expecting deeper corrections from here. That's exactly why this is the moment to have a game plan. In this video I break down every scenario for Bitcoin, what I'll do in each one, and the exact altcoin positions I'm watching. What I cover: – Bitcoin: holding the 200-week MA right now. As long as that holds, this is the cycle bottom. If it breaks, I'll show you the levels and how I de-risk. – The STRC depeg: why the panic dragging Bitcoin down is overblown, and what's actually going on under the hood. – Ondo: why 25-27 cents is my accumulation zone if we sweep the lows. – NEAR: my largest position, and the levels where I'm adding. – Wormhole: the bullish divergence I'm tracking for a potential double. We're hitting the same bottoming levels we saw in 2012, 2015, 2018 and 2022. Accumulating here is the key part of this entire market period. Full breakdown 👇🏼”
“@QuintenFrancois Trickshot: we're just in a regular correction within a larger bull cycle and are at a new ATH in 6-9 months.”
“Quite funny enough, this is not a bad start of the week for #Bitcoin as it bounces upwards. We need to see way more momentum, and a clear break above $61,000, however, the bullish divergence is there and shouldn't be ignored. https://t.co/sxe2ymJBod”
“Everyone seems to have found a consensus that the markets must continue to fall as Strategy is the next FTX and therefore, it needs to go to zero. However, do you realize how many people are currently net short on the markets? Is max pain actually a continued fall? I don't think that this is the case. Going up in a fast bounce is actually max pain scenario for me on #Bitcoin and many #Altcoins. Literally nobody expects this to happen.”
“$SOL looks like it wants to break back in the range. If that happens, it's very likely not going to stall there. The flip is an easy buy opportunity for me, but overall, I think that the markets are looking to get more upside momentum and I would expect $120-130 as a potential target area in Q3/Q4 of this year.”
“@TedPillows I'd much rather want to see a quick drop going into the futures open later today and a fast rebound upwards after US open tomorrow on #Bitcoin.”
“I'm really keen to see what #Bitcoin will do when it breaks back above $61K. It would strengthen the thesis of the bullish divergence and the markets can target the $65K resistance (and old support of the range) as the next target zone. The fact that the markets aren't falling deeper with all the panic and fear combined is actually a pretty interesting signal.”
“A lot of people are solely comparing the current cycle to the previous cycle. However, the previous cycle on #Bitcoin has been the outlier compared to the cycles before. The price of Bitcoin is currently ranging around the 200-Week MA. It's also resting on the 50-Monthly MA, a very well commonly known support level in previous bear markets to bottom on. It requires a lot of effort to break through this level, and given that we're in the middle of the maximum amount of peak on $STRC and Bitcoin, I doubt we'll break through it.”
“I've got no interest buying $SPCX in the short-term. $SPCX is a larger version of any VC-backed #Altcoin that listed in the past few years. Short pump at the listing, and then all the early investors will seek to brokerage venues to hedge their unlocks through options. However, I'm willing to be buying $SPCX in the future, when nobody is interested in it, as I think it will be a great anchor of a portfolio. Where will this be? I don't know, it could even be as low as $20-30.”
“@QuintenFrancois The BTC/GOLD chart has already bottomed out. It peaked in '24, and bottom is now in. That's why we've seen more strength on altcoins in recent months too.”
“My personal expectation on $STRC is that we're facing the first redemption day since the introduction of the bi-weekly dividend payments. That's on the 30th of June. Probably this window has been used to maximize gains on from a larger play (for instance Jane Street) to generate a return for themselves and therefore, price should bounce back swiftly. In my opinion, to avoid any of these cascades in the future, I'd suggest Saylor should introduce daily payments of the dividend, as the incentive to move the underlying asset into another direction to generate a higher yield will be decreased.”