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@CryptoMichNL · CIO & Founder @MNFund_ and @MNCapital_vc | Host of @new_era_finance | Macro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading | Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 22 Oct 2026
Caller Score
57
Top 43% · #10 of 22 ranked
Scored calls
402
0 pending · 16 unresolved
Hit rate
48.9%
195 correct / 204 incorrect · 3 neutral
Avg 4h return / call
+0.06%
Avg return per call (4 hour horizon)
Following every call
+22.6%
Equal stake on all 402 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
+0.08%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (50) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 28% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 48.5% | 33 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −32.5% | 24 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +0.08% | 52 | 25% |
By month resolved · 4 hours horizon
1077 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“@seth_fin This time won't be different. If #Bitcoin isn't able to crash further beneath these areas with all the fear surrounding Michael Saylor, then what should crash it further? The markets are already hitting market lows comparable to FTX and COVID bottoms.”
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| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
100 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.07 | 48 | 25% |
All time · 4h
“I'm currently not looking to sell my #Altcoin portfolio. I'm planning to use the 1st of July to be accumulating more, as that's my standard DCA day. The current negative sentiment surrounding #Bitcoin is solely dedicated to the entire sage of STRC, and the moment this fades away (or when Bitcoin reclaims the 200-Week MA), I expect to see strong liquidity pour into the altcoin markets. They are quite resilient vs. Bitcoin at this point already.”
“$STRC is bouncing back to $76. $MSTR is bouncing. #Bitcoin bouncing to $62,000+ would mean another close above the 200-Week MA and a reason to expect no further downside momentum. Everyone is short anyways, nobody is expecting a bounce, so if it happens, it can go fast.”
“I would assume we'll start to dive deeper getting closer to the US open. Why? $STRC is trading at $73 pre-market. A new low. We'll see what happens after the market opens, but I think that the price action on #Bitcoin will just repeat itself from the previous days: drop in the first hours, bounce back after that.”
“Funny enough; #Altcoins are doing quite well during this entire cascade. There are still a few days left to hold above the 200-Week MA. If that happens for #Bitcoin, I doubt we'll see a way deeper correction on the markets, as this entire fear is currently at its peak.”
“Ultimately; Yes, the markets are being pushed down due to the stresstest on $STRC. This impacts #Bitcoin. Does it impact #Bitcoin's fundamental thesis? Not at all. It actually grants a magnificent opportunity for everyone to buy Bitcoin, put this in self custody and become even more sovereign. In the short-term, this might have an impact on the price, however, isn't that the free markets in which we're operating? In the long-term, this will only benefit the ones that are smart enough to be using these opportunities. Nothing changed on Bitcoin. It's made for these cases. It's the most resilient asset ever.”
“Clearly, if $STRC going to <$80 and even further doesn't make #Bitcoin drop to sub $50,000. Then, I honestly don't know what should do the trick.”
“#Bitcoin makes a new low against USD as $STRC keeps falling apart. The volume continues to grow and I would expect to see a crazy amount of volatility into the next 24-48 hours. If $STRC has no appetite of bouncing back, we'll probably see <$52K (as mentioned earlier). If it does, this can reverse back quite fastly too.”
“It's another beautiful day where #Bitcoin is on the edge of breaking back upwards. The result... It doesn't. Why? $STRC continues to fall as the game continues to be played. Lots of volatility happening here and, in order for Bitcoin to be bouncing back upwards, we'll need to see that $STRC bounces back swiftly. Otherwise, the narrative surrounding Bitcoin will continue to expand.”
“My main thesis remains that we need to find a low for #Bitcoin. That's near. The chances that we're going back down are all dedicated to $STRC. If that bounces back fiercely, I would assume that we won't revisit <$60K and close above the 200-Week MA this week. That's the trigger for altcoins to continue moving upwards and some are already doing that. I do think that we'll have a great summer, the opposite of the markets thinking that we'll have a boring summer and that we'll go down more. I don't buy into that.”
“$ETH is looking interesting here. It's holding up nicely and its bound to break to the upside in the coming months. The crucial level to break here: 0.028 BTC. If that breaks to the upside, I assume we'll have a strong run on this one. https://t.co/GcM38ziXvm”
“Fast sweep of the lows on #Bitcoin and a quick move upwards. The weekly hasn't closed yet, but if the weekly can close above the 200-Week MA, we're in great territory for more upside. Ultimately; don't sell your #Bitcoin to buy it back lower. Just simply hold would be my gameplan.”
“Clear test of the lows, all correlated with $STRC on #Bitcoin. It's bouncing back up, but all depending on how Strategy is going to open tomorrow whether or not this can dump further. It's one of the scenarios, and I've not sold any of my #Altcoins as many of them have been more resilient than Bitcoin. Some are up 5-9% vs Bitcoin intraday. For sure, this is weakness in the markets, but I don't expect Strategy to go down. There's no reason for that to happen. This can easily bounce back fast to $64,000+ in the coming days if STRC bounces as literally everyone and his mom is currently net short on Bitcoin.”
“$STRC breaking to new lows, dragging #Bitcoin along. Altcoins not moving with Bitcoin, as the BTC pairs are mostly all up, indicating that this is solely dedicated to the entire sage surrounding STRC. Don't sell your #Bitcoin, that's the whole design of this correction. Use it to buy more. Beneath this low is where things become interesting (either accelerate or quick bounce back upwards).”
“Yes, I'm bullish on $ETH. This is by far the most insane spot for an interview in my entire life. The bull market is not far away from here. Listen to my insights with our friends at @Flight3official here. ⬇️ https://t.co/7FhuxiTXfk”