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@CryptoMichNL · CIO & Founder @MNFund_ and @MNCapital_vc | Host of @new_era_finance | Macro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading | Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 22 Oct 2026
Caller Score
57
Top 43% · #10 of 22 ranked
Scored calls
402
0 pending · 16 unresolved
Hit rate
48.9%
195 correct / 204 incorrect · 3 neutral
Avg 4h return / call
+0.06%
Avg return per call (4 hour horizon)
Following every call
+22.6%
Equal stake on all 402 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
+0.08%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (50) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 28% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 48.5% | 33 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −32.5% | 24 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +0.08% | 52 | 25% |
By month resolved · 4 hours horizon
1077 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“Every bear market bottom, the majority of the people expect lower prices to come. I remember; in 2018 the markets were definitely going to go to $1,200 when #Bitcoin was trading at $3,300. In 2022, we definitely were going to fall to $10,000 when we were trading at $16,000. In 2026, we are definitely going to get to $35,000-40,000 when we are trading at $60,000. It's the inverse psychology of the bull market, where the entire markets are solely expecting the asset to continue to run upwards further than their imagination might think of. Most likely these things won't happen.”
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| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
100 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.07 | 48 | 25% |
All time · 4h
“This is a phenomenal chart and coincides perfectly with the current market sentiment on #Altcoins. In recent months, altcoins have already been breaking out, and some have been making yearly highs. They are being pushed back due to a lack of strength in $BTC, and I assume we'll start to see liquidity pour back into those altcoins as soon as Bitcoin finds a bottom. A matter of time, as history doesn't repeat exactly, but it often rhymes. This EMA rhymes again.”
“Perhaps this entire correction was depending on Iran for #Bitcoin. The ETFs only started selling the past two weeks and Saylor had no impact, so who did? Iran, miners, a combination of the two. The fact that we're seeing some talks between the two could signal that we're done with the correction and the correlation between M2 supply and #Bitcoin runs back up again. Markets aren't designed for you to be making it easy. They are hard. That's why I accumulate now.”
“This is another chart on #Bitcoin that coincides perfectly with the market bottom on any cycle. This cycle isn't different. We're at the actual bottoming period, and if the market doesn't break beneath the 200-Week MA, this is your opportunity.”
“$STRC is up another $1 pre-market. Most likely, it will continue to move upward in the coming week as fear fades. I don't expect it to crash again, and that should automatically mean that #Bitcoin breaks back into the range and regains everything it's lost due to this saga (which means the $75-80K area). Matter of time.”
“$STRC is up another $1 pre-market. Most likely, it will continue to move upward in the coming week as fear fades. I don't expect it to crash again, and that should automatically mean that #Bitcoin breaks back into the range and regains everything it's lost due to this saga (which means the $75-80K area). Matter of time.”
“Another week, another close above the 200-Week MA for #Bitcoin. Strong signals. If this week can continue moving towards the $68K area and we're back in the range, I assume we still have a strong altcoin summer. A lot of people are waiting for Bitcoin to reach $40K, but with this price action, I doubt we'll see such a strong downwards move.”
“No strange movements over the weekend and some specific #Altcoins continue to break upwards. It's a matter of time until Bitcoin breaks upwards, and I think that a stronger bounce on $STRC will be the trigger. https://t.co/BZjc7UyHqY”
“No strange movements over the weekend and some specific #Altcoins continue to break upwards. It's a matter of time until Bitcoin breaks upwards, and I think that a stronger bounce on $STRC will be the trigger. https://t.co/BZjc7UyHqY”
“@tulipking He’s not the only bid, as a matter of fact: he’s super small compared to the markets.”
“My take on Strategy? I think that we'll continue to bounce up with $STRC tomorrow and that will drag #Bitcoin back up. It's not FTX, it's not comparable and the fear is slowly fading away. Keep stacking sats. https://t.co/GA7d3Yq3Sd”
“My take on Strategy? I think that we'll continue to bounce up with $STRC tomorrow and that will drag #Bitcoin back up. It's not FTX, it's not comparable and the fear is slowly fading away. Keep stacking sats. https://t.co/GA7d3Yq3Sd”
“Everybody wants to buy #Bitcoin now at $40,000-50,000. Just like everybody wanted to buy #Bitcoin at $60,000 when it was at $85,000. Just like everyone expects a certain level to happen, the chances of it to happen have decreased to zero percent. Overcrowded trades never happen.”
“@QuintenFrancois No Quinten, it's going to $40K. You should buy there.”
“I honestly stand by the fact that this is one of the best times to be buying $ETH. In 5-10 years from now, you'll be laughing back and say: Gosh, I should have bought more. That's always the asymmetry with those investments. At the moment: you don't understand and feel whether or not you should be in that position. In hindsight, it's obvious.”