@CryptoMichNL · CIO & Founder @MNFund_ and @MNCapital_vc | Host of @new_era_finance | Macro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading | Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 22 Oct 2026
Caller Score
98
Top 2% · #1 of 22 ranked
Scored calls
391
11 pending · 16 unresolved
Hit rate
57.7%
225 correct / 165 incorrect · 1 neutral
Avg return / call
+2.06%
Avg return per call (each call's stated horizon)
Following every call
+805.6%
Equal stake on all 391 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
+1.69%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (84) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 27% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 58.4% | 97 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −249.6% | 21 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +1.69% | 94 | 25% |
By month resolved · Stated horizon
1077 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“@nobrainflip I think buying the dip on $SOL makes a lot of sense too.”
Think your calls are better?
Get ranked on the same rules, or challenge @CryptoMichNL head to head.
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
97 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.22 | 94 | 25% |
All time · stated
“$ETH is a better place to park your money rather than $BTC going forward. It's resilient, and it's in an uptrend for the first time in over a year. The recent correction in $BTC hasn't brought $ETH down much. I'm only expecting to see a correction on Ethereum take place when there's a strong, volatile move upwards on Bitcoin. The trend has shifted.”
“There's still no problem on $BTC. Price remains hovering above $60,000, despite the fact that the Middle East has reactivated the War again. Other than that, as long as it remains a relatively shallow correction, I don't think we'll start to see lower levels in the markets. The crucial level for me is the $61,000 area.”
“$SOL has seen a strong upward move, and I'm looking at the $BTC pair for information on where to allocate assets. During those upward moves, there will always be reasons why the markets are correcting. This time it's speculative liquidity flowing out of $SOL towards Robinhood meme coins. All I'm seeing is that we're in an uptrend for the first time in over a year, and that this dip is going to be interesting to buy in the coming days.”
“The markets are currently in a late stage of the bear market on #Bitcoin. Late stage bear market signals: - Positive news doesn't move or reflect the markets. People aren't bothered by it. - The price expectations are solely down. '#Bitcoin must go to $30,000.' - People flipping from bullish to bearish. We've just had: - Tariffs. - Iran War. - AI boom. - $SPCX IPO. - The flush after 10/10 destroying liquidity in crypto. - Michael Saylor selling Bitcoin. Yet, we're at $63,000. I don't think there's a large enough reason to say that the markets must continue to fall to $30,000-40,000. What should bring the markets there?”
“@QuintenFrancois And it's currently above again, while many altcoins are breaking a 1-year downtrend. Early signals of a good period on the horizon.”
“The correlation is insane, and it would provide more intel in the fact that $ETH is about to break upwards in a big way. The business cycle is often phrased through the Copper / Gold chart. You can see that during the 2017, 2021 cycles we've had a positive correlation between these two charts. The only case that there wasn't a positive correlation, that was the 2024 cycle. However, was that actually a cycle? Or are we just waking up to a cycle right now and is #Bitcoin in a super cycle? That's up for debate. Regardless, Copper/Gold is a great indicator of market momentum. It has just broken upwards massively and it has flipped a 4-year long downtrend up to an upwards trend. Usually, $ETH follows through, although, with some lag as there needs to be more confidence in the markets. A matter of time until the crypto markets are finally picking up momentum.”
“@TedPillows I'm actually expecting to see a bullish breakout upwards here, as it's consolidating quite strongly. We've just had the strongest weekly candle on $ETH vs. $BTC in more than a year and altcoins are breaking their downtrends.”
“@QuintenFrancois They'll call you stupid for buying here right now, but they will call you lucky in a few years.”
“$SOL is still in an uptrend here, which means that it has broken the downtrend vs. Bitcoin after a year of trending down. I don't think that we'll stall, I do think that we'll continue to see strength happening here. That said, I'm willing to be a buyer on lower levels for this one (if there's a deeper correction). Overall; it's a matter of time until $SOL regains the $100+ levels.”
“#Bitcoin looks great here. It had a short test of the $61,000 level earlier and easily continued to bounce upwards and consolidates now. I would expect that, after the news that Saylor has sold (and by the way, he sold last week in an upwards trending markets, so how much of an impact does he have?) we would have been trending lower. Now this is behind us, there's a new equilibrium, I don't really know what should be pushing back the price of Bitcoin at this stage. Looking forward to seeing it trend to $68,000.”
“If Michael Saylor selling 3,600 $BTC is going to cause an upwards move on the markets. I don't know what would bring the markets down to $40,000.”
“It's probably going to be one of those periods where; - #Bitcoin moves first and takes all the liquidity from the rest of the markets. - Altcoins vs. $BTC correct. - #Bitcoin cools down after the first rally upwards --> #Altcoins follow through. Until there's a market-wide correction and then everything comes back down. Generally speaking I think that we'll see 1-2 months of upwards momentum until a harsh correction and then another 4-5 months of upwards momentum until February/March.”
“This remains to be the thesis on #Bitcoin. It's seen a higher low and it likely will be testing the highs over the coming days. There's a lot of upside to come if Bitcoin breaks back in the range, as the liquidity will likely flow towards #Altcoins rather than Bitcoin. https://t.co/0tbJ9jYI8d”
“That's a great bounce from $BTC from these regions. It's following the path that I wanted to see for upwards continuation. Retest, but not too deep, and then we can proceed moving upwards where we're likely going to test the resistance (and take the liquidity above the high) at $67,000-68,000.”