@CryptoMichNL · CIO & Founder @MNFund_ and @MNCapital_vc | Host of @new_era_finance | Macro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading | Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 22 Oct 2026
Caller Score
98
Top 2% · #1 of 22 ranked
Scored calls
392
10 pending · 16 unresolved
Hit rate
57.5%
225 correct / 166 incorrect · 1 neutral
Avg return / call
+2.05%
Avg return per call (each call's stated horizon)
Following every call
+804.7%
Equal stake on all 392 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
+1.68%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (84) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 27% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 58.2% | 97 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −249.6% | 21 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +1.68% | 94 | 25% |
By month resolved · Stated horizon
1077 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“@btc_charlie I'd suspect north of six figures, but given that we're in a bear market by then, I'm not sure whether it will be much higher than $100,000.”
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| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
97 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.22 | 94 | 25% |
All time · stated
“I don't see a reason why this scenario shouldn't play out for $SOL. It's clearly breaking through this resistance zone and flipping the level. I'm expecting to see a strong continuation as long as the range low holds as support. If that happens, we'll likely see $SOL trend to $100+ in the coming 1-2 months.”
“'In 2029, we'll look back and wish we've bought more #Bitcoin at $69,000.' The markets must bottom out at $40,000 for #Bitcoin. The markets should be going to bottom in October, because that's the 4-year cycle bottom. Yes, it could happen. Definitely. The one thing I've learned from trading the markets is that the consensus trade doesn't necessarily happen. If everyone expects a certain event to happen, the opposite usually takes place. Why would you risk the bet to be selling your Bitcoin here in order to be potentially buying back lower at $40,000? All the on-chain indicators have flashed that the markets are hitting the same metrics as at bear market bottoms in previous cycles. This cycle: we've had a new ATH prior to the halving. We've also had a peak on BTC/Gold in December '24, different than the BTC/USD bottom. The markets have become unpredictable and I think that thinking in scenarios makes a lot of sense. Michael Saylor's STRC is safe. It bounced back up 30% since the announcement of the Digital Credit Framework. I don't expect another tumble down, and given that there are many technical indicators signalling that there's a reversal on the horizon, I can only say that buying Bitcoin in these ranges is a phenomenal opportunity.”
“@CryptoTice_ The reason that it's completely different than previous bear markets is that the upside volatility has been significantly less. In that case: downside volatility will be significantly less too.”
“@CryptosBatman I don’t know if this is valid yet, the higher timeframe bullish divergences are probably significantly stronger.”
“Insider Trading: The day before Trump paused the tariffs, his accounts purchased 327 stocks worth up to $12.8 million. He made more than a million by doing this and only got a $200 penalty. They've crashed #Bitcoin and #Crypto to be able to scoop up as much as they can before the Clarity Act and regulation kick in, and they'll launch the biggest bull run. It's all one big manipulation.”
“$SOL is in an uptrend against $BTC. It's the first time since the summer of last year that it has broken above crucial resistance levels (MAs) on the daily timeframe. That means -> buy the dip territory on this one. I do expect to see a strong continuation here, and I'm going to be actively trading $SOL in the coming months, as this will probably continue to run until August/September.”
“@Nebraskangooner I completely agree with you on this one, I do think $SUI is following too. Other than that; BTC pair of Solana breaks upwards strongly.”
“I'm very pleased to be holding strong positions into the following protocols. $NEAR - The AI play that consistently continues to build and grow with their revenues. $TAO - Fascinating blockchain and severely undervalued (only due to the recent issues within the subnets) $EIGEN - Gave back all the gains (and I should have sold there), however, expecting to clearly break into an uptrend from here. $W - My Solana play, as Solana has already been outperforming and I expect more upside to come there. $ONDO - One of the best RWA plays and should be traded significantly higher due to the recent inflow and underlying TVL. I'm unsure about my positions on $OP and $SEI as they are severely underperforming. I'll be continuing to evaluate those positions going forward, as there are many protocols starting to wake up strongly that could fit: - $JUP, $JTO, $ZAMA to name a few.”
“Kevin Warsh mentioned that the inflation expectations have come down. No wonder, as oil has come of a cliff lately. We all know what to expect when they publicly say this: - Long equities - Long #Bitcoin - Long #Altcoins Embrace a strong altcoin Summer.”
“@TedPillows It's a long way to go, and I think we'll start to see more momentum coming in during the week as ETF buyers will step in and the fear surrounding $STRC fades away.”
“@BigCheds I'm not sure, mate. It's making strong bullish divergences on the 3D/1W on the $SOL/USD charts and has broken a 10-month downtrend on the SOL/BTC chart.”
“$BTQ is doing great, it's up 150% since the last time I tweeted about it. I don't think it's going to stop, I think it's up to way more upside, as the stock has been so resilient for the weakness in the #Bitcoin markets. The valuation is still undervalued and I think that we're going to see a strong move towards $8+. Why? Massive news came out today. ➡️ $BTQ just cleared the final regulatory hurdle to fully acquire QPerfect. This is a French neutral-atom quantum firm out of Strasbourg and today, the French FDI approval came out. ➡️ This is important as it's broader than solely building tech as BTQ isn't solely building quantum computers. Their focus is on everything post-quantum and to provide a solution to the world on quantum cryptography. Essentially securing the infrastructure that quantum computers potentially could break, including #Bitcoin. That's why I think $BTQ is going to trend significantly higher the moment the market momentum in crypto will change. This deal will turn BTQ into a full-stack quantum company and high on my personal radar of interest. The market cap is only $800M and that's severely low compared to the potential of the underlying stock. Technically: I've posted about BTQ during the moment that it was building up a strong bullish divergence. It's one of the strongest reversal indicators in the markets, and it flashed earlier in the year on BTQ. Since then, the asset rose by more than 150%, yielding a tremendous return for risk investors trusting into the underlying stock and/or believing into the post-quantum vision of $BTQ. I don't think it will stall here. There's a strong uptrend taking place, which should result in significantly more upwards momentum as it's clearly building up more momentum through: - Increasing amount of volume picking up and showing there's real demand at these levels. - Clearly uptrending with higher lows and higher highs (flipping previous resistance levels for support). That's why a breakout above $6 is around the corner, and I'm expecting this to rally to $8-10 in the coming period as I do see a strong correlation between an upwards trending crypto market with $BTQ.”
“I think that Michael Saylor has taken a wise decision with his Digital Credit Framework and has strengthened his position. $STRC has bounced upwards with 25% and is already back at $89. I don't think the markets are currently pricing in the uptick already, and I think that should follow in the coming days/weeks on #Bitcoin. July is going to be great.”
“This is a great bounce on $BTC. I'm expecting this to keep getting stronger. Why? ➡️ $STRC has bounced upwards and is getting back into better waters. ➡️Oil falls. That's positive for the markets. ➡️ Yields are dropping. All ideal ingredients. In my opinion, #Bitcoin needs to break back above $61,000, and we'll start to see significantly more interest in the markets.”