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@Trader_XO · Strictly 2σ-3σ
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
—
Low sample: 9 more calls to rank
Scored calls
6
0 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
50.0%
1 correct / 1 incorrect · 4 neutral
Avg 4h return / call
-0.03%
Avg return per call (4 hour horizon)
Following every call
-0.2%
Equal stake on all 6 calls resolved in the last 30 days
Mean alpha
-0.09%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (45) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 0% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 35.2% | 25 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −1.0% | 71 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -0.09% | 42 | 25% |
By month resolved · 4 hours horizon
9 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“@Stoiiic 📝”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 80.0% |
54 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.11 | 42 | 25% |
30 days · 4h
“BTC - Daily 12/25 ema's... ETH - Second image... OTHERS - Third image NQ - Fourth image https://t.co/KCXdPbqU0Y”
“$BTC and Alts Thus far, price has largely played out as anticipated and in line with how I've positioned tactically. Nowadays, I use charts more as a compass to frame areas of interest. Execution itself comes down to reading flows, positioning and how participants respond at key inflection points. As for Bitcoin, keeping things relatively simple. The September 21 breakout origin around 81.7k fuelled by short liquidations saw price push into 87s. We've since rotated back into that area and tested it several times - (confluent with mondays lows) In a market showing genuine upside conviction, you'd generally expect buyers to defend that origin and establish acceptance higher. Repeated tests without meaningful upside displacement aren't particularly encouraging from a tactical perspective. Doesn't necessarily mean we break down, but it does raise questions about the underlying strength of demand.... For now, I'm positioned and hedged for potential downside continuation. Acceptance back above the 85s would have me reassess and begin rolling off the hedge. Equally, I'm interested in buying opportunities, but I'd want to see a shift in momentum, evidence of buyers stepping in with conviction and an ability to sustain higher prices.... Ultimately, no attachment to a directional bias. It's about recognising where the balance of control sits, how that changes and positioning accordingly. If looks like a range, trades like a range then it probably is a _ _ _ _ _ <insert missing word> Cheers”
“@htltimor the weekly... whats on your radar...”
“The StochRSI When an indicator remains overbought for weeks without convincing price expansion or high-volume continuation, I become increasingly cautious of downside risk... The indicator isn't actionable in isolation, but helps me determine when to be aggressive versus defensive... I generally use it as a mechanical oscillator along with htf supply and demand zones But ultimately - a trade strategy and its execution is what is more important. Bitcoin and various alts... exhibiting signs of the weekly stoch remaining overbought at the moment...”
“@trader1sz Reminds of what happened in 2023... from 25k to 19k if it does”
“Correction 2720s *”
“$ETH remains rotatational within Monday’s 100-point--ish range, rejecting the 1720s again. Very good intraday/intraweek conditions, but direction remains unresolved. 29s remain the more significant resistance above. Trade there and I’d expect BTC to revisit 86s. Until then, resistance is resistance at 1720s until proven otherwise. Let the liquidity games continue.”
“Was always likely to help fuel the move higher…. Let the liquidity games continue https://t.co/MAib7CDRfR https://t.co/Qh2TuB9wS9”