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@Trader_XO · Strictly 2σ-3σ
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
—
Low sample: 4 more calls to rank
Scored calls
11
0 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
40.0%
2 correct / 3 incorrect · 6 neutral
Avg 4h return / call
-0.02%
Avg return per call (4 hour horizon)
Following every call
-0.3%
Equal stake on all 11 calls resolved in the last 90 days
Mean alpha
-0.09%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (44) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 18% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 38.9% | 34 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −1.0% | 81 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -0.09% | 41 | 25% |
By month resolved · 4 hours horizon
3 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“@trader1sz Reminds of what happened in 2023... from 25k to 19k if it does”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 53.8% |
38 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.10 | 38 | 25% |
90 days · 4h
“@dea_yora Currently have downside exposure via alts In terms of bitcoin - still positioned short and took some off overnight... Looking for a reason to cut and reverse...”
“Not surprised to see many alts to partially pullback tbh - as is generally the case when heading into uncertainty around CPI or FOMC... Key for me now in terms of context is that Bitcoin is trading below - Previous weeks vwap - Developing weekly vwap - Developing monthly vwap Session wise - failure to find acceptance back above the latter two then my expectation is that we should in theory trade down into previous weeks low... which is what I positioned for on Sunday night along with some alts. Otherwise not much else that I'm interested in at present - mainly talking to myself on here if anything... But pleased with the perfomance so far since coming back to trading in sept - still early days and anticipating a decent month in terms of macro driven volatility.”