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@fundstrat · CIO Fundstrat Capital @FundstratCap $GRNY $GRNJ| Research @fundstratdirect | @CNBC FT contr. | Chairman Bitmine @BitMNR $BMNR $BMNP | Wikipedia: https://t.co/8QsXKpzGT7
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
75
Top 25% · #6 of 22 ranked
Scored calls
18
0 pending · 9 unresolved
Hit rate
12.5%
1 correct / 7 incorrect · 10 neutral
Avg 1h return / call
+2.35%
Avg return per call (1 hour horizon)
Following every call
+42.4%
Equal stake on all 18 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
+2.52%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (62) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 11% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 11.9% | 0 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −3.9% | 73 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +2.52% | 97 | 25% |
By month resolved · 1 hour horizon
10 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“Markets on “hold” today until FOMC rate decision at 2:15pm ET 1. if Fed raises, markets expected - Future cuts likely get removed, - 10-yr yield likely drops = stocks rally 2. If Fed “holds” - dovish surprise, even if hawkish talk - markets focus on hold regime underway = stocks rally We think most likely path is a rally post-2:15pm ET @FundstratDirect @FundstratCap @BitMNR $BMNR $BMNP”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 37.0% |
12 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 3.87 | 100 | 25% |
All time · 1h
“the longer the line, the more important the breakout this is positive for ethereum:native $BMNR $BMNP https://t.co/5wRQ0oHzUC”
“@Micro2Macr0 @FundstratDirect @BitMNR agree with this... upside breakout seems most probable”
“Agree with @HHorsley here Fundamentals are pulling away because investors got burned on the Oct 10 massive deleveraging It’s just a matter of time $ETH $BTC https://t.co/eSD5mhKsdW”
“Agree with @HHorsley here Fundamentals are pulling away because investors got burned on the Oct 10 massive deleveraging It’s just a matter of time $ETH $BTC https://t.co/eSD5mhKsdW”
“Love this take from @SeanMFarrell on Clarity Act odds of passage: - his convos with policymakers show higher odds than seen in prediction markets - "recent restrictions" prevent insiders from trading on this outcome Hence, @Polymarket and @Kalshi markets likely underestimate odds of passage PS: This is bullish @FundstratDirect @FundstratCap @BitMNR $BMNR $BMNP $ETH”
“Upside breakout happened for $ETH / $BTC - good sign that broadening crypto rally underway - tokenization driving fundamental growth https://t.co/uRk7njdUc2 https://t.co/fvtPkkk34i”
“We remain bullish near-term so we are buying the pullback in Semis, Memory and momentum $MTUM $DRAM $SMH - the structural AI story intact = upside to EPS Great speaking with @MorganLBrennan on @CNBCMorningCall @@FundstratDirect @FundstratCap @BitMNR $BMNR $BMNP Morning Call Sheet: AI trade, tech rotation and oil keep markets on edge https://t.co/A4tekhXRrC”
“2/ Since start of Iran war, notice how: - with each move in oil up or down - # fed hikes/cuts moves in sync And $ETH and crypto prices are linked to monetary liquidity Thus, crypto will be inversely correlated to oil https://t.co/LwYTwxfA2p”
“2/ As Oil rose in the past 6 weeks, ETH prices have fallen: - Oil price is inverted (higher prices = downward) Thus, oil reversing = ETH prices recovering https://t.co/3kwQzlp7QC”