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@rektcapital · Crypto Investor/Analyst Writes RC Newsletter: https://t.co/pFp14Jbs2r Follow for level-headed insights on Bitcoin and Altcoins
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 21 Oct 2026
Caller Score
16
Top 84% · #19 of 22 ranked
Scored calls
142
0 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
51.4%
73 correct / 69 incorrect · 0 neutral
Avg 1h return / call
-0.02%
Avg return per call (1 hour horizon)
Following every call
-3.3%
Equal stake on all 142 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
-0.04%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (34) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 31% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 50.8% | 52 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −10.8% | 39 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -0.04% | 12 | 25% |
By month resolved · 1 hour horizon
326 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“$BTC Bitcoin is deviating below the $73k top of Double Bottom as we speak (Chart 1) Weekly Close above $73k and price will have another chance at rallying (likely just to form another Lower High though) But for as long as 2024 old All Time Highs continue to figure as resistance (Chart 2) then there's little chance this Weekly Double Bottom retest will be successful over the long run #BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin”
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| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 96.4% |
85 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.10 | 9 | 25% |
All time · 1h
“$BTC 2024 All Time Highs are acting as new resistance in the first day of the new month Welcome to June #BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin”
“$USDC Dominance has successfully retested 2.9% as support, on the cusp of potentially repeating a 2022-esque uptrend Meanwhile Bitcoin's price has dropped to $72k and its momentum continues to falter #USDC $BTC #Bitcoin https://t.co/cwIHktoo1t https://t.co/7Eor1Zozqs”
“$ETH Ethereum has Monthly Closed below its multi-year uptrend (green) for the second time in 5 months The last time Ethereum Monthly Closed below the trendline, price produced a limited move to the upside and got rejected promptly The rallies originating from this trendline are clearly weakening, the multi-year uptrend likely faltering Ethereum needs to at least keep the 2026 lows and/or reclaim the uptrend to avoid deeper downside #ETH #Crypto #Ethereum”
“$BTC Bitcoin has Monthly Closed beneath the 2024 old All Time High More, price has shown very initial signs of turning the 2024 into new resistance on the first day of the new month of June Unless Bitcoin reclaims the 2024 ATHs soon, this sequence of technical events increases the chances of Bitcoin revisiting the 2021 All Time Highs for a retest #BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin”
“$BTC The two EMAs have indeed acted as resistance in this Bear Market and have since forced price to drop into the Double Bottom formation top for a post-breakout retest #BTC #Bitcoin https://t.co/I40wC1Sppq https://t.co/H0MXzjmtoN”
“#BTC Bitcoin has Weekly Closed above the top of the Double Bottom formation ($73k, blue) What this means is that the retest has initially been successful, even though price is slinking below $73k at this very moment But for as long as price continues to retest the $73k level throughout this week, Bitcoin could trend continue from here Turning $73k into resistance would be a sign of weakness as that would fail the Double Bottom post-breakout retest confirmation $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin”
“$BTC In earlier Bitcoin cycles, price would never retest prior All Time Highs in a Bear Market But with each passing cycle, Bitcoin would get increasingly closer to retesting All Time Highs during Bear Market corrections Until in 2022 price actually deviated below the All Time Highs If this tendency continues, Bitcoin would deviate once again below old All Time Highs in this cycle as well #BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin”
“solana:EPjFWdd5AufqSSqeM2qN1xzybapC8G4wEGGkZwyTDt1v Dominance preparing for upside after successfully retesting 2.9% as support Looks like a repeat of 2022 (green circle) Upside for USDC --> risk-off environment for $BTC #USDC #BTC https://t.co/8lm6PugyMs https://t.co/7Eor1Zozqs”
“solana:EPjFWdd5AufqSSqeM2qN1xzybapC8G4wEGGkZwyTDt1v Dominance preparing for upside after successfully retesting 2.9% as support Looks like a repeat of 2022 (green circle) Upside for USDC --> risk-off environment for $BTC #USDC #BTC https://t.co/8lm6PugyMs https://t.co/7Eor1Zozqs”
“#BTC Bitcoin is rejecting from the base of the Macro Triangle $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/OZKiSFTZlK https://t.co/YVb7MXZ7YJ”
“#BTC For a few weeks, Bitcoin was able to hold the 21-week EMA (green) as support However recently, Bitcoin has since lost the EMA and has turned it into new resistance Continued rejecting from the EMA could force price to perform a post-breakout retest attempt of the Double Bottom formation top (~$73k) $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin”
“#BTC Bitcoin has indeed turned the 21-week EMA (green) into new resistance Bitcoin spent the past 1.5 weeks upside wicking into the EMA and rejecting from it Continued rejection from the EMA would send price closer to $73k for a post-breakout retest attempt of the blue Weekly Double Bottom $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin”
“#BTC Any upcoming rebound could potentially turn the 21-week EMA into new resistance Especially if price Weekly Closes below the EMA following the rebound $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/zmjBPgYT8L”
“#BTC Bitcoin has Weekly Closed below the 21-week EMA (green) which technically positions price to potentially turn it into new resistance on any upcoming rebound Turning the 21-week EMA into new resistance would fully confirm the breakdown from it $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/YmZPvyKYbQ https://t.co/pnX3lIlplp”