@rektcapital · Crypto Investor/Analyst Writes RC Newsletter: https://t.co/pFp14Jbs2r Follow for level-headed insights on Bitcoin and Altcoins
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
3
Top 97% · #18 of 18 ranked
Scored calls
66
0 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
28.9%
11 correct / 27 incorrect · 28 neutral
Avg 24h return / call
-0.40%
Avg return per call (24 hour horizon)
Following every call
-26.5%
Equal stake on all 66 calls resolved in the last 90 days
Mean alpha
-0.38%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (20) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 41% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 27.9% | 0 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −32.7% | 28 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -0.38% | 9 | 25% |
By month resolved · 24 hours horizon
28 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“If #BTC performs a Weekly Candle Close below ~$82500 that would raise concerns of a fake-breakout from the $60k to $80k Macro Range for Bitcoin Especially if ~$82500 is then bearish retested back into resistance $BTC #Bitcoin”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
81 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.18 | 6 | 25% |
90 days · 24h
“$LIT - Lighter In the absence of bullish confirmation via a Weekly Close above the red Range High resistance... Lighter was always going to remain range-bound here (black square) As a result, additional consolidation to as low as the Range Low is a possibility #BTC #LIT #Lighter”
“#BTC Bitcoin has officially broken to new Macro Higher Highs, invalidating the series of Macro Lower Highs that persisted since October 2025 When a Macro Downtrend ends, a new Macro Uptrend begins $BTC #Bitcoin”
“#BTC "If this price action ends as an upside wick by the end of the week, this will have been a bearish retest to confirm the breakdown from the 50-week EMA" Already, price action is forming an upside wick beyond the 50-week EMA (purple), solidifying a potential bearish retest here If this continues, the breakdown from the EMA will be confirmed EMAs like the 50-week EMA tend to hold as support in Bull Markets and act as resistance in Bear Markets Thus, price struggling to hold the EMA as support just demonstrates that the trend is not yet conclusively "Full Bull" $BTC #Bitcoin”
“#BTC Bitcoin continues its positioning below ~$78300 which is the Weekly level that price needs to successfully retest as support to move higher At the moment, price is below this level, prepared for a Weekly Close below, which resembles May 2026 Such a Weekly Close followed by a bearish retest would likely send price lower $BTC #Bitcoin”
“#BTC Bitcoin has generally maintained these highs over the past few weeks Each time rebounding from ~$77k (orange) into Daily Higher Highs but each time also returning right back into this same $77k level, regularly retracing any gains made (a sign of price weakness) Meanwhile, the RSI has developed two Lower Highs, signalling mounting weakness, strengthening the Bearish Divergences Of course, while as RSI dwindles it is getting closer and closer to the Daily Higher Low on the RSI (blue) which is going to be a potential RSI support worth monitoring in the future Overall, if Bitcoin loses its Daily Price Higher Low (black) and $77k Daily support (orange) then the Bear Divs will validate and this provisional Daily Double Top will activate All about the $77k level on the Daily and the $78300 level on the Weekly and whether they can continue to sustain support amidst signs of mounting weakness $BTC #Bitcoin”
“#BTC The retest of ~$78300 is now in progress $BTC #Bitcoin https://t.co/qvqvadVvr4 https://t.co/upWuzpGObA”
“#BTC The Daily Bitcoin Bearish Divergences continue and that weakness is slowly translating into price But Bitcoin would still need to confirm a breakdown from $77k (orange) to have this mounting weakness fully translate into price bitcoin:native #Bitcoin https://t.co/ckhQ4WfxWC https://t.co/tx0AexNf7F”
“#BTC Can Bitcoin prove sustained strength at these highs? Previous overextensions lasted anything from 1 week to 4 weeks before a major pullback Bitcoin has successfully managed to perform a Weekly Close at these highs But Bitcoin will need to perform such a Weekly Closes a few more times to stave off downside and ideally rally to Higher Highs Because if this is a Bear Market Relief Rally, in the absence of stability here and/or a new Higher High, price could pullback strongly within a handful of weeks bitcoin:native #Bitcoin”
“#BTC Bitcoin is still hovering beneath the Macro Downtrending resistance, having upside wicked briefly beyond it Still the pivotal resistance and by staying below it, Bitcoin continues its series of Macro Lower Highs bitcoin:native #Bitcoin https://t.co/anBReUrDhp https://t.co/UZsfPfzT8W”
“#BTC The reality is that even if the Bitcoin Bear Market Bottom was in already... Then any deeper pullback into a new Macro Higher Low would confirm that Which would allow to build entries at prices not much higher than the absolute bottom And if you build entries there, those entries will outperform 95-99% of investors over the course of the entire Bitcoin cycle More, the Macro Higher Low would offer slight premium prices compared to the absolute bottom but at least that premium is the cost of buying on confirmation You don't need to buy the absolute Bitcoin Bear Market Bottom to do well in a Bull Cycle bitcoin:native #Bitcoin”
“#BTC Bitcoin has Weekly Closed at the highs Now starts the real test If this is a Bear Market Relief Rally, then Bitcoin could pullback as early as this week, or at least over the next few weeks Now it's all about Bitcoin proving sustained strength $BTC #Bitcoin https://t.co/kQsou2a4Ok https://t.co/JaoTYb6yI3”
“@Cryptophilos_ The same exact way, just check previous posts dating to late 2025: https://t.co/gNMVgY55JN”
“#BTC Bitcoin has reached the Macro Triangle Downtrend Technically, Bitcoin is still experiencing Macro Lower Highs and would need to break this Macro Downtrend to enter into a new Macro Uptrend $BTC #Bitcoin https://t.co/xdfTbgsnl0 https://t.co/fLe9rajX4K”
“#BTC Of course, Bitcoin has downside wicked below the orange $63k level consistently over the past few weeks And so technically, a similar downside wick could also occur this week But what's been equally consistent is the weakening rebounds from orange and also the fact that Bitcoin tends to rollover in the second half of August in Bear Market years A bearish Weekly Close below the orange level would just confirm the already existing technical and seasonal weakness $BTC #Bitcoin”