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@rektcapital · Crypto Investor/Analyst Writes RC Newsletter: https://t.co/pFp14Jbs2r Follow for level-headed insights on Bitcoin and Altcoins
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 21 Oct 2026
Caller Score
7
Top 93% · #21 of 22 ranked
Scored calls
142
0 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
40.1%
57 correct / 85 incorrect · 0 neutral
Avg 4h return / call
-0.12%
Avg return per call (4 hour horizon)
Following every call
-16.9%
Equal stake on all 142 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
-0.17%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (21) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 31% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 38.1% | 3 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −24.9% | 30 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -0.17% | 9 | 25% |
By month resolved · 4 hours horizon
326 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“#BTC Many are asking why I drew the Macro Downtrend this way I drew it in late November 2025 (and haven't changed it since) as a speculative line of best fit which proved to have been an almost picture-perfect rejection point for the January 2026 upside wick Though Bitcoin missed this trendline by barely 3%, the Downtrend has been proven to be a valid reaction point for price and it will probably continue to be that way The best trendlines are the ones that are drawn based on timeless TA principles ahead of time and then later their credibility is verified by price reacting from them $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin”
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| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 96.4% |
85 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.20 | 3 | 25% |
All time · 4h
“#BTC Not only would Bitcoin need to go against the grain of history to breakout into a new Macro Uptrend... But it would also need to go against long-standing principles of Bitcoin cycles to do so $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/CjIhaCS14i https://t.co/PuKBtOTeOJ”
“#BTC Bitcoin continues to remain beneath the Macro Triangle it broke down from months ago Bitcoin has never been able to reclaim a Macro Triangle once price had broken down from it $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/vGQ4v7YPFx https://t.co/YVb7MXZ7YJ”
“It looks like, with time, Stablecoin Dominance has a good chance of resuming its Macro Uptrend #BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/7Eor1Zozqs”
“The $USDC Dominance is still in progress but the room for that retest is becoming increasingly limited #BTC will likely continue to perform well while this #USDC retest takes place But once the USDC retest successfully occurs at 2.9% (black), $BTC price momentum may stall #BTC #Bitcoin”
“#BTC Now that Bitcoin has Monthly Closed above 2021 and 2024 old All Time Highs... This now technically positions price for a future reclaiming retest attempt of both of these levels $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/vzpSPZuvdh https://t.co/4cpl81E5tW”
“#BTC The Bitcoin pullback continues and this is looking more and more like an EMA rejection, especially if BTC isn't able to Weekly Close above the EMA by end of week After all, the breakout from the Double Bottom was technically unconfirmed And so successfully post-breakout retesting the top of the formation is technically necessary to achieve full breakout confirmation $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin”
“#BTC Bitcoin continues to dip following the rejection from the 21-week EMA (green) If price continues to slip, it could indeed reach the Double Bottom formation top for a retest $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/BxicAobRJp https://t.co/9wUmqIRaen”
“#BTC At the moment, the 21-week EMA (green) is acting more as resistance than a support that price is trying to retest The retest was always going to be difficult given the marginal Weekly Close but it's still technically a possibility However, once the EMA starts to firmly act as resistance, then that post-breakout retest of the top of the Double Bottom formation (blue $72k) would once again be in play $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin”
“#BTC Bitcoin has Weekly Closed just above the 21-week EMA (green) Which means price is technically positioned for a retest of the EMA The problem is that there is very little space for the retest to breathe, making it very easy for BTC to drop below the EMA Bitcoin will need to try to hang at these highs if the retest is to be successful $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin”
“#BTC Bitcoin continues to reject from the 21-week EMA (green) At the moment, price is potentially facing a second consecutive Weekly Close below the EMA The most recent time when BTC Weekly Closed just beneath a resistance for two consecutive weeks was in mid-March below ~$73k (blue) and price rejected from there shortly after $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin”
“#BTC Bitcoin continues to resist from the 21-week EMA (green) Unless BTC is able to reclaim the 21-week EMA as support... Then this EMA could indeed force BTC into a post-breakout retest of the top of the Double Bottom price broke out from last week $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/W5frX8kcHx https://t.co/H0MXzjmtoN”
“#BTC If indeed this tendency continues to play out, then this is a good visual representation of how limited any additional upside could be for Bitcoin going forward $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/2vcnNRHYPd https://t.co/Pm64dNZcGm”
“#BTC Bitcoin continues to remain beneath the Macro Triangle it broke down from months ago Bitcoin has never been able to reclaim a Macro Triangle once price had broken down from it $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/DJbClfLCOL https://t.co/YVb7MXZ7YJ”
“#BTC Bitcoin has Weekly Closed above the Double Bottom formation top (~$73k) but beneath the 21-week EMA (green) This means that Bitcoin has started the breakout process from the Double Bottom but if it wants to fully confirm the breakout, it would need to retest the DB top And the 21-week EMA could be the resistance that forces Bitcoin into that retest $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin”