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@rektcapital · Crypto Investor/Analyst Writes RC Newsletter: https://t.co/pFp14Jbs2r Follow for level-headed insights on Bitcoin and Altcoins
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
11
Top 89% · #20 of 22 ranked
Scored calls
136
4 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
44.9%
61 correct / 75 incorrect · 0 neutral
Avg 7d return / call
-1.23%
Avg return per call (7 day horizon)
Following every call
-167.0%
Equal stake on all 136 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
-1.50%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (23) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 32% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 43.6% | 21 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −213.8% | 18 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -1.50% | 12 | 25% |
By month resolved · 7 days horizon
324 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“#BTC The upcoming Monthly Candle Close is slowly approaching And as things stand Bitcoin has only rallied +14.5% from the ~$60k historical demand area That's a far cry from previous rebounds which is a sign of progressively weakening support over time $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/9K4cgPJQNl https://t.co/Hu8UEadXjI”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 96.3% |
85 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.29 | 0 | 25% |
All time · 7d
“Looks like #BTC is rejecting from the 50-Month EMA $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/lzyma7Z5cQ”
“#BTC Bitcoin is treating the 50-Month EMA (purple) as resistance Which is in line with historical tendencies in previous cycles $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/Io0a7lTqqh https://t.co/pcGq6Jm6n6”
“#BTC The $60k historical demand area is getting progressively weaker with each new rebound This current rebound is +14% which is lesser than past rebounds History suggests this move could end as a weaker rally to form yet another Macro Lower High $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/Dry7FYvMxH https://t.co/D2ypIPy3ou”
“@virtualbacon Thank you for your comment but I've always mentioned how price would revisit the 50 EMA from the June bottom https://t.co/a5t4ghijES”
“#BTC Bitcoin will likely go up for as long as needed to convince as many people as possible of a new Bull Run beginning And then it will pullback to continue its Bear Market $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin”
“#BTC Bitcoin has indeed picked up in its price action in the second half of July History tends to repeat itself $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/3Q7qTjnJTO https://t.co/n72n10p74a”
“#BTC Breakdown June Relief July Rejection August The Summer Gameplan has played out perfectly thus far $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/3v5Vzp9K8c”
“#BTC There we go Bitcoin has reached the 50 Month EMA (purple) as anticipated late last month $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/hENoyr9JyO https://t.co/5JhfpTAvtn”
“Unpopular #BTC opinion The current 6-Month Candle could ultimately close as red $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin”
“#BTC Bitcoin dropped by -25% to $58000 since then $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/A2UWKVqHBb”
“It’s 2026 Bitcoin is more than halfway through its second year in the current #BTC Four Year Cycle 2025 proved to be the year of the $BTC Bull Market peak And 2026 has proven itself to be the year of the Bitcoin Bear Market 2027 will be the Bottoming Out year to precede an entirely brand new future Bitcoin Bull Market #Crypto #Bitcoin”
“The #BTC Four Year Cycle continues $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/2UXa9XGbdE”
“It makes sense that $USDC Dominance is now in the process of retesting the early 2026 highs into new support (blue) While Bitcoin is treating the general area of February 2026 lows as resistance The inverse correlation is clear More, the blue level for #USDC Dominance is confluent with its Macro Downtrend (red) Successful retest here would enable further upside for USDC Dominance (Macro Risk-Off) #BTC $BTC #Bitcoin”
“#BTC Bitcoin springs from the June lows into Green July in an effort to confirm the 50-Month EMA (purple) into new resistance A Monthly Close below the 50 EMA would likely set up a Red August to fully complete the 2022 Summer Fractal $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/82UFm3JagR https://t.co/5JhfpTAvtn”