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@rektcapital · Crypto Investor/Analyst Writes RC Newsletter: https://t.co/pFp14Jbs2r Follow for level-headed insights on Bitcoin and Altcoins
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 21 Oct 2026
Caller Score
7
Top 93% · #21 of 22 ranked
Scored calls
135
7 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
41.5%
56 correct / 79 incorrect · 0 neutral
Avg return / call
-2.26%
Avg return per call (each call's stated horizon)
Following every call
-305.0%
Equal stake on all 135 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
-2.68%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (19) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 31% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 40.1% | 12 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −345.9% | 12 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -2.68% | 9 | 25% |
By month resolved · Stated horizon
326 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“#BTC As it stands, here's what the path for the Summer could look like: - Monthly Close below the 50Month EMA (purple) - Bearish post-breakdown retest of the 50 EMA into new resistance (scope for brief upside wicking beyond the EMA on retest) - August cancellation of relief and additional downside due to $60k weakening as support $BTC #Bitcoin”
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| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 96.3% |
85 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.46 | 0 | 25% |
All time · stated
“@Truecrypto Agreed. Though even if somehow BTC Monthly Closes above the 50M EMA, price would still likely form another Lower High before a potential breakdown from the EMA”
“#BTC At this stage, if June Monthly Closes just like this at $62k then that would confirm the breakdown from the 50-Month EMA So it July turns into a green month, then that could see price turn the 50 EMA into new resistance Then August would cancel out July and send Bitcoin into downside continuation $BTC #Bitcoin”
“#BTC If history repeats for Bitcoin, then the pattern may be as follows for next couple of months: June ends as a red month July could be green in response And August could therefore be red to cancel out July's upside completely $BTC #Bitcoin”
“#BTC The market will invite people to become sufficiently bullish on Bitcoin And then another Macro Lower High will form $BTC #Bitcoin”
“Bitcoin will rally high enough to convince you that the Bear Market is over And then it will resume its downtrend $BTC #BTC #Bitcoin”
“#BTC February lows served as multi-week support for Bitcoin, to develop this blue-blue range But Bitcoin has broken down from this Range and has been treating February lows as new resistance ever since $BTC #Bitcoin https://t.co/pRoSk48xTS https://t.co/sNQDr1P7jd”
“#BTC History suggests that whatever June does, July will do the opposite Therefore if June is red, July will likely be green So if June ends the month like this, it will confirm a loss of the 50-Month EMA as support And so July will likely relief rally to turn the EMA into new resistance $BTC #Bitcoin”
“#BTC Bitcoin has deviated -14% below its 2021 old All Time Highs in this current 2026 Bear Market Still a little off the -22% deviation below 2017 old All Time Highs back in the 2022 Bear Market History suggests there's still time left and a bit more downside to go $BTC #Bitcoin”
“Bitcoin at $60k today vs Bitcoin at $60k in early Q1 2027 are two completely different things In this moment in the #BTC cycle, $60k may be a weakening support Whereas by 2027 the same level could become reclaimed into new support as part of a new uptrend $BTC #Bitcoin”
“You don’t need to necessarily buy Bitcoin as price goes lower and gets closer to its Bear Market bottom Some of the best #BTC Bear Market entries can be achieved once price has finally bottomed & reversed, reclaiming previously lost levels back into support $BTC #Bitcoin”
“#BTC February lows continue to reject price $BTC #Bitcoin https://t.co/6N39VUWPR5”
“#BTC Bitcoin will very soon be 70% through its current Bear Market $BTC #Bitcoin”
“The February #BTC floor is acting as the June ceiling $BTC #Bitcoin”
“#BTC The reality is that investors who buy Bitcoin at current prices will likely be very happy with their purchase, years from now Macro-wise, current prices are bargain prices But history suggests that Bitcoin could still offer even better bargain prices $BTC #Bitcoin”