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@rektcapital · Crypto Investor/Analyst Writes RC Newsletter: https://t.co/pFp14Jbs2r Follow for level-headed insights on Bitcoin and Altcoins
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 21 Oct 2026
Caller Score
7
Top 93% · #21 of 22 ranked
Scored calls
135
7 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
41.5%
56 correct / 79 incorrect · 0 neutral
Avg return / call
-2.26%
Avg return per call (each call's stated horizon)
Following every call
-305.0%
Equal stake on all 135 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
-2.68%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (19) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 31% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 40.1% | 12 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −345.9% | 12 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -2.68% | 9 | 25% |
By month resolved · Stated horizon
326 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“#BTC It is early in the week so this could still change, but... The aggression in FOMO buying at this Lower High has been much lesser compared to previous attempts (blue circle) Bitcoin would produce long upside wicks in mid-June and mid-July (blue circles) Whereas this/last week produced no FOMO wick thus far The aggression in FOMO-buying at the Lower High resistance is much more tame The confidence and belief in this Lower High finally breaking is decreasing $BTC #Bitcoin”
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| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 96.3% |
85 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.46 | 0 | 25% |
All time · stated
“#BTC Bitcoin rejecting from the Lower High already means that price was only able to produce a +3.3% bounce from the orange level of support This orange level may be weakening as a demand area because the rebounds have been consistently weakening from here $BTC #Bitcoin https://t.co/j1uZu7fjGZ https://t.co/XylrgaBe0c”
“#BTC Bitcoin is slowly starting to reject from this Lower High resistance Generally in a Bear Market year, Bitcoin tends to rollover in the second half of August This may be the beginning of that historical tendency once again unfolding $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/CfdPEwOS58 https://t.co/0Gkcobujpz”
“#BTC continues to form Lower Highs And of course, at some point Bitcoin will break these Lower Highs to enter a new Bull Market But that has historically taken place well after 400 days spent in a Bear Market which would translate into 2027 in this cycle $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin”
“#BTC Very initial signs of rejection taking place at the Lower High for Bitcoin $BTC #Bitcoin https://t.co/n0uNXyjp1k https://t.co/WbnRfRENGL”
“#BTC Bitcoin has Weekly Closed beneath the Lower High (black) once again, technically solidifying it as resistance for yet another consecutive week $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/DtK3nQB0IJ https://t.co/29y6nU4kRr”
“#BTC As the Weekly Close approaches, Bitcoin is trying to press even more against the Lower High resistance (black) Generally, Bitcoin would need to Weekly Close above the blue level and successfully retest it as support to rally higher from here Because such a Weekly Close would invalidate the multi-week Lower High dating to early June That said, at this moment, at a snapshot, Bitcoin is still at Lower Highs (black) and still beneath the Summer Range Resistance (blue) Once again, history suggests Bitcoin will produce limited upside from here and rollover in the second half of August $BTC #Bitcoin”
“#BTC Bitcoin is forming Lower Highs here relative to the July upside wick In 2022, August actually developed a Higher High relative to the preceding July No matter the structure however, 4 years ago Bitcoin positioned itself for a bearish retest of the 50 Month EMA (purple) to reject and drop lower later Today as things stand, Bitcoin is technically positioned for the same thing $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin”
“#BTC The Weekly Close is near and Bitcoin has only produced a +3% bounce from the orange level and is rejecting at the Lower Highs As a result, the idea of a weakening support at ~$63300 (orange) is still in play $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/CzGWaFbluc https://t.co/Ma0rBIxeow”
“People are getting increasingly bullish on #BTC Meanwhile Bitcoin is doing exactly what it tends to do at this moment in the cycle „It's likely price will try to maintain these highs in the early stages of August but history suggests price could rollover just like it did in 2022” $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin”
“Capitulation for #BTC is only ever really discussed on strong crashes in price But FOMO capitulation also exists The market will constantly test you so as to extract an emotional response from you to buy at resistance before a stronger a rejection takes place $BTC #Bitcoin”
“#BTC Bitcoin continues to try to press into the July highs and the 50-Month EMA This is exactly what Bitcoin did in August 2022 Until Bitcoin clearly reclaims the 50 EMA as support, BTC is technically positioned to repeat 2022 history $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/yTVme90EMm”
“#BTC When I posted this, people were getting more excited But price was a few weeks away from its Local Top before dropping to ~$58k in the months that followed Once again, people are getting a bit more excited about Bitcoin on this current move $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/ML5awGmPbL”
“#BTC Bitcoin has only produced a +2.5% bounce from the orange Weekly level This is still in keeping with a "progressively weakening support" thesis Bitcoin would need to break the Lower Highs (both candle-bodied and upside wicking trendlines) for invalidation $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin”
“#BTC Not too strong of a reaction at the moment As long as the orange support here produces weaker rallies, price will keep forming Lower Highs to produce an eventual breakdown deeper into the $58000-$66000 Range (blue-blue) $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/pn82XKYRvf https://t.co/vD58vB96w3”