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@travladd · Futures trader. Partner of @okx | Business: https://t.co/5Tj83UaVch | Not financial advice.
Coverage 23 Apr 2026 – 21 Oct 2026
Caller Score
89
Top 11% · #3 of 22 ranked
Scored calls
94
0 pending · 13 unresolved
Hit rate
56.3%
49 correct / 38 incorrect · 7 neutral
Avg 1h return / call
+2.49%
Avg return per call (1 hour horizon)
Following every call
+233.7%
Equal stake on all 94 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
+2.64%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (79) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 10% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 57.2% | 82 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −12.9% | 24 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +2.64% | 100 | 25% |
By month resolved · 1 hour horizon
195 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“$SPCX update: Expecting relief until around $187, maybe slightly higher. https://t.co/Gkl0CronAS”
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| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 75.0% |
64 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.65 | 97 | 25% |
All time · 1h
“$SPCX update: Almost bang on again. I am expecting a local bottom in this range around IPO day ATH. After August bloodbath. Maybe some relief after this zone. https://t.co/SiFRNPsGXT https://t.co/pgERQlb9Af”
“$SPCX update. Need a candle close outside of the giant bullflag, close below the flag and it enters the 170”s I think. I am not shorting the bottom of the bullflag without a close here outside of it. https://t.co/arlVzKYxBE”
“$SPCX update: Got it right here, shorting again Strong rejection top of channel, weak looking bottom channel and lots of retail investors in at a high price without understanding market cap. What could go wrong👀 https://t.co/fSkPie2Mzs https://t.co/HDotK0smt0”
“$SPCX Double top, followed by 3 black crows and looking like a bearish matt hold. Expecting a visit to the bottom of the flag before heading higher. Opening a short just to the bottom range of the flag, then closing. https://t.co/fG97YOffB6”
“Depends on your margin and liquidation. 57k could be horrible to long unless it’s a liquidity grab. I would prefer what we see right now that the bottom is already in. Or a wick to 58k. I’d long at around 58k but if we hit 57k and didn’t recover quickly, I’d take the loss on that long.”
“Longing $BTC here”
“$BTC looks totally fine, last trip the bottom was around the previous all time high, the pattern is there, bottom may have already been in at $60,000 or we may get one more wick. But looking at the chart there should be very strong support there now, it makes zero sense that we break much below $60,000 beyond a possible wick. Bottom could be in. BTC dominance falling, some alts catching up too.”
“Bitcoin dominance down around 2% over the last 8 days. $BTC Around 30 of the top 100 cryptocurrencies in green even with Bitcoin down 4%. Most altcoins barely moved on the way to $120,000 Bitcoin, maybe it’s catch up time before a new Bitcoin ATH. https://t.co/J77mybYHYw”
“Buy pressure at the $75,000 level looks strong for $BTC With institutions stacking a net positive, this range looks strong, $77,000 - $78,600 may range for a while but sooner or later we should be back testing $82,000. https://t.co/V0I3XrJuN3”
“Looks like a good time to be accumulating ethereum:native Ethereum is at the bottom range of its monthly trendline, if the trend continues, this range is a perfect buy. https://t.co/SteEJnPsHe”
“Bitcoin at $76,000 is free. We live in a digital era, everything digitalised, Bitcoin is the digital gold. Institutional adoption will continue, in 2030 predictions range from $500,000-$1M+ per coin. So does it matter if you buy at 76k, 60k or 100k?”
“Don't worry guys, I just put a $100,000 $BTC short position, so it will pump to 90k soon. You are all welcome.”
“@TimBitKamp This is what I’m thinking, as Bitcoin supply is limited, more institutions see price rise slowly but better than many stocks, supply go lower and will want to have some BTC on the books for exposure.”
“I think many people are going to be surprised with how $BTC behaves these next few years. It’s not just public speculation now and trading the ‘predictable’ cycle. The last 6 weeks of ETF activity have been net inflows. Institutions are stacking.”