Loading…
@travladd · Futures trader. Partner of @okx | Business: https://t.co/5Tj83UaVch | Not financial advice.
Coverage 23 Apr 2026 – 21 Oct 2026
Caller Score
48
Top 52% · #12 of 22 ranked
Scored calls
94
0 pending · 13 unresolved
Hit rate
41.5%
39 correct / 55 incorrect · 0 neutral
Avg 24h return / call
+5.05%
Avg return per call (24 hour horizon)
Following every call
+474.5%
Equal stake on all 94 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
+5.41%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (61) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 10% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 41.5% | 12 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −139.0% | 9 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +5.41% | 97 | 25% |
By month resolved · 24 hours horizon
195 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“@crypto_birb @DavidGreatly I believe $38.5-45k range, and I'm getting some shit for that too lol. It absolutely can hit this target, those of us who have watched this market bottom before know that.”
Think your calls are better?
Get ranked on the same rules, or challenge @travladd head to head.
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 77.8% |
64 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.27 | 94 | 25% |
All time · 24h
“@lucas67261771 Waiting to see close, if it closes like this we go lower right away. If not we sweep 62 & 65 late shorts then lower. Agree?”
“@Justpit5 Was thinking 62k minimum bounce, 66k maximum bounce. Spread shorts across the range. You think slightly higher?”
“My Bitcoin bottom prediction AND why: Approximately $38,500 - $42,000 84% Drop (2018) 77% Drop (2022) $38,500 sits on a heavily tested level and would give us approximately a 69% drop. Whereas $42,000 gives us just less than a 67% drop. https://t.co/b1WG6LIuWr”
“@LevendiPro Currently trading SPCX, oil and bitcoin Nothing looks like it’s going up for a while as in a full reversal”
“@TedPillows Keep saying this and get clowned by people, yet it’s statistically backed…”
“Historical top to bottoms last two cycles: 84% and 76%. 38.5 being a very key area previously sits at around 69%. Makes sense.”
“My updated Bitcoin bottom prediction: $38,500 $BTC https://t.co/5YRl2Np2OY”
“$SPCX Expecting $114 or lower before November. https://t.co/jHahhSPUKX”
“Changed my mind too, I think this wicks to 38-42k.”
“@stoolpresidente Don’t worry Dave, if Bitcoin hit $10, I’d buy 2, and never sell. So it will never go to zero.”
“What is your $BTC bottom prediction? For me as stated yesterday, $45,000-$48,000”
“@mominsaqib Expecting 45-48”
“@skibumtrading Agree, also said around 48k for the bottom, wick to lower 40’s possible. Chart is screaming a breakdown.”
“bitcoin:native I expect the Bitcoin bottom to be around $48,000 https://t.co/ff6XXGodNc”