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@travladd · Futures trader. Partner of @okx | Business: https://t.co/5Tj83UaVch | Not financial advice.
Coverage 23 Apr 2026 – 21 Oct 2026
Caller Score
14
Top 86% · #16 of 18 ranked
Scored calls
64
25 pending · 9 unresolved
Hit rate
39.1%
25 correct / 39 incorrect · 0 neutral
Avg 30d return / call
+3.06%
Avg return per call (30 day horizon)
Following every call
+195.6%
Equal stake on all 64 calls resolved in the last 90 days
Mean alpha
-2.69%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (19) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 11% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 40.2% | 6 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −720.6% | 9 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -2.69% | 9 | 25% |
By month resolved · 30 days horizon
155 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“Good morning gang! $BTC looks very likely to hit $58.8k today, where it needs to hold. https://t.co/ooy67JiqLM”
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| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 92.3% |
72 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.02 | 13 | 25% |
90 days · 30d
“@lucas67261771 Waiting to see close, if it closes like this we go lower right away. If not we sweep 62 & 65 late shorts then lower. Agree?”
“@LevendiPro Currently trading SPCX, oil and bitcoin Nothing looks like it’s going up for a while as in a full reversal”
“My updated Bitcoin bottom prediction: $38,500 $BTC https://t.co/5YRl2Np2OY”
“What is your $BTC bottom prediction? For me as stated yesterday, $45,000-$48,000”