@AltcoinSherpa · Not Financial Advice / Crypto since 2016/ DYOR https://t.co/2tk69SLmJY https://t.co/R4qO2qt1o9 Betting with @rainbetcom
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 21 Oct 2026
Caller Score
43
Top 57% · #13 of 22 ranked
Scored calls
365
1 pending · 47 unresolved
Hit rate
51.0%
182 correct / 175 incorrect · 8 neutral
Avg 4h return / call
+0.03%
Avg return per call (4 hour horizon)
Following every call
+12.4%
Equal stake on all 365 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
-0.00%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (43) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 11% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 51.0% | 45 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −68.9% | 9 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -0.00% | 33 | 25% |
By month resolved · 4 hours horizon
704 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“$PEPE is not really a great active trade but will be 1 of the winners later on when risk on conditions come. It could still take several weeks/months for that to happen though. Check the recent post I made with regards to buying spot down here at these levels. I don't see a consistent trend yet so you can either wait until you see a breakout or just buy spot here and hold it”
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| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 96.4% |
94 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.00 | 39 | 25% |
All time · 4h
“$BIO has a decent narrative overall but the team just jeets every unlock and there's no real momentum on this trade. I wouldn't buy it https://t.co/WCpEW4KLGv https://t.co/z3b9MJIKdK”
“$SOL I drew these lines a month ago and it looks like it's just slowly grinding down. I still think Solana will do well when risk on conditions improve but I think there's just been a lot of other onchain activity elsewhere (RH) and other solana coins taking the spotlight (PUMP). It'll eventually have its time but eth still looks a bit better to me personally”
“$ETH so this looks...good again? It's mostly going to go as bitcoin goes and the 200d EMA lurks above. But this should do well if bitcoin is stable, probably 2.5k or higher https://t.co/Qi6J8b5lfA”
“$TUT is a scam that has been accumulating for an entire year and now making it's move. I traded this for 20% on very small size 2 days ago but cut it already. +40% today and I think this has more gas in the tank but it's obviously one where you should be very careful / its risky https://t.co/8PkApj8g8P”
“$PUMP I think that this is the only coin I really want to buy a dip on, hoping I can get a little lower for my bids to fill. It's the only momentum coin on the market right now imo https://t.co/nqeJ9k4A3E”
“$LIT still looks like it's pretty good for now tbh, I think it's a decent spot to get a starter position all the way down to sub $2 https://t.co/F8hv3dV1cq”
“$CASHCAT love to see this type of move, I didn't make any $ in it but really happy to see others win. RH listing probably the local top as I don't see any further catalysts with it but we will see what happens. GG to those who crushed this trade https://t.co/7bLw9yva6u”
“$BTC I think the bottom is nearly in from a time perspective. Price wise we could still dip down to the 50ks but time wise I still think it's close to the end...expecting decent moves by Q4 this year https://t.co/VADWdSlP25”
“Trade ideas: Momentum: $PUMP (I dont see anything else) Bounces after big moves (maybe): $LIT $HYPE $KAITO $ZAMA Unsure but good: $ZEC ethereum:0x57e114b691db790c35207b2e685d4a43181e6061 Potential pump but risky: $FHE $EPIC”
“Trade ideas: Momentum: $PUMP (I dont see anything else) Bounces after big moves (maybe): $LIT $HYPE $KAITO $ZAMA Unsure but good: $ZEC ethereum:0x57e114b691db790c35207b2e685d4a43181e6061 Potential pump but risky: $FHE $EPIC”
“$PUMP great daily close, happy to buy any dips at this point definitely a clear case where I would have just been better off buying spot lower and just holding. I bought perps before, made a small %, and cut it. Bad execution on my end. Still quite strong https://t.co/ROSP1eH4QT”
“$LIT I think this is a good area to start scaling in, with orders down to $1.80. It's still an excellent project IMO https://t.co/eVQ8JR1cuk”
“Not seeing a ton of trades right now that I need to fomo in...some decent moves today and I've still got a lot of the same coins on my radar: $PUMP $LIT $ENA $ZAMA $UNI $KAITO but I honestly don't see there being a clear leader right now and the entire market still seems v. choppy. More just sitting on my hands and waiting for a good opportunity and would rather just buy LIT at lower levels.”
“$PUMP: Still looks good on the lower time frames but I wanted to talk a bit about the higher time frames- on 1 hand, I think pump is still a great business with lots of 'revenue' (probably a lot of it is fake), a big warchest, and great PMF. It's also got a team that is smart and willing to pivot to new ideas (cross chain, streaming, social, etc). On the other hand, there are unlocks, and unlocks are going to probably push down any future pushes. Now, you can argue that the VCs are simply waiting for bullish conditions to unload their bags and that's totally reasonable. But still, the overhang is a reason why you will always be a bit worried imo. I think about some of the older coins that launched in the bear market (thinking 2023) and then started to unlock in 2024. Coins like ARB are a good example- while the ARB token itself is useless, I still think that the perception back then was quite a bit different and arb is still one of the few chains/L2s that has some traction still today. But I just remember ARB pretty much underperforming everything when the bull market really hit in 2024 and I think it's because of VC unlocks (the counter to this is SUI, which had a decent run). So, great fundamentals + revenue + buying tokens vs. token unlocks. Usually the latter ALWAYS wins this and the buybacks can never overcome the selling...but the timing is always the tricky part about any trade. Do I think that pump is going to be higher than todays prices when the bull market hits? Probably Am I scared as hell about these VCs who have their tokens? Definitely”