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@CryptoHayes · Arthur Hayes, CEO of @Flop_Labs & CIO @Maelstromfund
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
—
Low sample: 12 more calls to rank
Scored calls
3
0 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
50.0%
1 correct / 1 incorrect · 1 neutral
Avg 1h return / call
-0.29%
Avg return per call (1 hour horizon)
Following every call
-0.9%
Equal stake on all 3 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
-0.85%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (39) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 0% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 49.3% | 55 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −2.2% | 65 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -0.85% | 25 | 25% |
By month resolved · 1 hour horizon
3 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“The bank of the future $ETHFI is waking up. $2 is just maths. https://t.co/PJdnH4wEl0”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 11.5% |
10 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.33 | 40 | 25% |
All time · 1h
“One Dollar $SYN is within reach, tell me why I'm wrong ... https://t.co/jZXknW941t”
“The ticker is $CARDS degens. The thesis is solid. The price will be pamping! Yachtzee bitches 😘😘😘😘😘😘😘 https://t.co/yPeEOBHBus”