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@CryptoHayes · Arthur Hayes, CEO of @Flop_Labs & CIO @Maelstromfund
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
—
Low sample: 9 more calls to rank
Scored calls
6
0 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
50.0%
2 correct / 2 incorrect · 2 neutral
Avg 30d return / call
-11.21%
Avg return per call (30 day horizon)
Following every call
-67.3%
Equal stake on all 6 calls resolved in the last 90 days
Mean alpha
-1.93%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (31) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 0% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 65.5% | 41 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −138.3% | 22 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -1.93% | 31 | 25% |
By month resolved · 30 days horizon
2 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“One Dollar $SYN is within reach, tell me why I'm wrong ... https://t.co/jZXknW941t”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 46.2% |
31 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.07 | 28 | 25% |
90 days · 30d
“The ticker is $CARDS degens. The thesis is solid. The price will be pamping! Yachtzee bitches 😘😘😘😘😘😘😘 https://t.co/yPeEOBHBus”