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@CryptoKaleo · καλέω: to call This is my journal Co-Founder - @LedgArt_io
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 21 Oct 2026
Caller Score
69
Top 31% · #6 of 18 ranked
Scored calls
149
55 pending · 27 unresolved
Hit rate
56.4%
84 correct / 65 incorrect · 0 neutral
Avg 30d return / call
+76.04%
Avg return per call (30 day horizon)
Following every call
+11329.6%
Equal stake on all 149 calls resolved in the last 90 days
Mean alpha
+44.34%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (69) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 23% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 55.1% | 25 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −755.6% | 3 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +44.34% | 100 | 25% |
By month resolved · 30 days horizon
437 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“One other note - my current thesis for Bitcoin / the broader crypto market is pump until sometime in mid August before we see a bit of distribution at a new local top and one last leg lower that creates a true bottom for this bear market in Sept/early Oct. So - that opens a window of about another month that high momentum plays like Robinhood Chain assets have the opportunity to run. Also lines up with when I plan on taking some profits in my positions because I believe there will be an opportunity to stack lower. I know it sounds like a month is a very short window, but if you've been around crypto for long enough - a LOT can happen within a month. So even though my ~general~ bias is still that we haven't seen the bottom of the bear market yet, that doesn't mean there aren't windows of opportunity to be bullish within certain sectors and have a bit of fun.”
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| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
91 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.51 | 100 | 25% |
90 days · 30d
“Found the next $CASHCAT on Robinhood Chain. Only a matter of time before we see another $100M+ runner printing on the menu. https://t.co/M2cnJCDb7a”
“#Bitcoin / $BTC Said it yesterday, but worth saying again after Warsh's speech: - Bounce to the low 70s over the next month - Chop for a bit - Wick down to the high 30s / low 40s in Sept / Oct - Print the bottom for the bear market - Begin the climb to new ATHs https://t.co/s1TgfsiLuR https://t.co/B0HEOxVMi7”
“As long as Strategy is around, you will continue to be diluted, and they'll continue to find ways to present it so that you can try and justify it to yourself https://t.co/vdUbX1u69z”
“#Etherem / $ETH $1K before $5K https://t.co/ma1Ojm8uWI https://t.co/qJKLIDN07V”
“And for what it’s worth - I believe BTC finds its bottom around the same time Strategy has enough cash set aside to at least wipe away the $6.7B of convertible debt sitting on its books. That doesn’t necessarily mean MSTR bottoms at the same time. It’s important to remember Bitcoin isn’t defined by one man or one company.”
“Part of me thinks Saylor announcing Strategy’s Bitcoin sale kicks the can down the road *slightly*… aka maybe we don’t see a capitulation event in the market this week - But still believe 30s/40s for BTC are imminent. When there’s blood in the water, it’s only a matter of time before the market tries to hunt it down for more.”
“#Ethereum / ethereum:native still accumulating beneath the HTF s/r flip. Expect a move down near $1K to retest 2022 lows prior to running it back to the highs. https://t.co/0WBD08lweC”
“#Bitcoin / bitcoin:native Low 50s / 40s from here. https://t.co/rRjm4EnAEF”
“$STRC If you think Stretch is a great buy at $80, you'll think it's a steal at $60. https://t.co/NLgf78mJeQ https://t.co/scIXXWFa0W”
“Strategy announced they purchased zero BTC last week. Instead, they announced they’re planning on selling $1.25B of Bitcoin soon and the market flipped green. Shows you the exact state of things. They need cash. They know it and the market knows it. Biggest question is how efficiently can they sell the BTC and how much of an impact it has when they actually start.”
“$SOL Target for Solana is still $40, with a possible wick into the high 30s before a real bottom. Good luck in the trenches fellas. https://t.co/iayJ3irMxN https://t.co/ZyC4L0JpMU”
“Extrapolate the trend from the drawdown % for each Bitcoin bear market, and the current one should land somewhere around 72.5%. $126,073 × (0.725) ≈ $34,670 https://t.co/eFjijpcDmM”
“$STRC down to $71. Already knocking on the door of the $60s. Insane unraveling. https://t.co/cubciV8Lpp https://t.co/gFDec5Z8Dg”
“$MSTR Wouldn't shock me at all to see a gap down tomorrow and then into early next week the way this has been accelerating If / when support @ $60K BTC gives out, the floor for MSTR collapses with it. https://t.co/ciV6mgx5K3 https://t.co/RKceHTlog5”