@CryptoMichNL · CIO & Founder @MNFund_ and @MNCapital_vc | Host of @new_era_finance | Macro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading | Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
75
Top 25% · #5 of 18 ranked
Scored calls
212
0 pending · 3 unresolved
Hit rate
47.3%
97 correct / 108 incorrect · 7 neutral
Avg 1h return / call
+0.26%
Avg return per call (1 hour horizon)
Following every call
+56.0%
Equal stake on all 212 calls resolved in the last 90 days
Mean alpha
+0.25%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (65) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 20% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 48.0% | 28 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −16.0% | 13 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +0.25% | 81 | 25% |
By month resolved · 1 hour horizon
535 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“$ETH remains to be in a beautiful accumulation area, where I'd expect it to be breaking upwards in the coming period. Regulation will come for digital assets, maybe not through the Clarity Act, but for sure through a different way. https://t.co/4QzA7AOCI5”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
94 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.38 | 91 | 25% |
90 days · 1h
“Cutting rates would be incredibly bad for markets. Holding steady would be ok. Hiking rates effectively increases QE, so #Bitcoin can rally. https://t.co/B7ezF2p5cF”
“There's always a huge question of whether we'll be seeing an altseason ever again. We've just seen a strong expansion in selective assets: $HYPE, $ZEC, $LIT, $VVV and $NEAR is starting. The reason that it's selective is just a liquidity thing. As long as there's not much liquidity in the markets, you'll have selective runners. In order to get more liquidity, #Bitcoin needs to move higher.”
“Investing into #Altcoins can be quite tricky. Why? Volatility is extreme, and you could have the impression that it's going to do absolutely nothing. The opposite is true for $SUI. I'm going to dive into the technicals in this post, because those are signaling the actual move is on the horizon, and that those moves usually take time. However, once they start to happen, that's when you need to be positioned into the asset as these moves are going to be super violent. The 3-Day $BTC chart looks primed for a big breakout upwards. The bullish divergence is not only visible on the 3-day chart, but also on the 1-Week and 1-Day charts. Those are higher timeframes, meaning that those breakouts are about to be happening, but could be taking weeks or even months to be playing out. Yes, that can be stressful, especially when price keeps falling while the technicals are showing up with higher lows. We've seen this price behavior prior to the breakout of Arbitrum and that one has been moving strongly in recent weeks. Additionally, it's just a few weeks away from SUI Basecamp as they'll be planning to be doing massive announcements, meaning that the ecosystem is constantly expanding. During such a time, you'll find that you'll be seeing a strong mispricing taking place. You'll ask yourself: 'Huh, why is there more activity in the ecosystem, however, there's no breakout to the upside when it comes to the underlying token?' Yes, that takes a bit of time, but once it comes, it will happen quickly. The second chart is the SUI price vs. the Dollar. Similar construction as what we've seen with $SUI vs. Bitcoin. Strong bullish divergences are being applied on the MACD and on the RSI. Again, those divergences are going to take time before they'll be played out, but once they do, it will be great. Overall, these divergences can also be found on the weekly and on the daily chart. I think that the SUI ecosystem is one of the strongest ecosystems. Sure, they've had their flaws, but that's normal. It's not like anything is perfect from the start. However, this is one of the strongest teams in the entire industry and that's why I think that accumulating this asset here is the right thing to do.”
“Rejection at the $76,200 area, means that we're going down further with #Bitcoin. That's fine. We're looking at a technical correction and we're about to sweep those lows again and potentially get to $74,000. That's where I'm going to be interested. https://t.co/kkRN8fpQwl”
“This is the area where I'm getting interested on the markets, as #Bitcoin sweeps the lows here. I'm more or less most interest if this goes to $74,000 as that's been my preferred area all along. Sweep of the lows done, fear is in the markets, and we most likey get a ton of short liquidity in the markets now too.”
“I'm positively surprised by the price action of #Bitcoin so far. Not dumping through, little bounce back upwards. Everyone, their mother, their cousin and their grandmom are currently shorting #Bitcoin as a shock event, but I don't think that's the play when we've been sweeping the lows.”
“We keep on falling down with the markets and #Bitcoin as this continues. With this speed, Bitcoin hits $74,000 prior to the vote and will bounce back massively once it hits 'APPROVED' tonight. https://t.co/qodrYJlRTE”
“A scenario where there's a classic sweep of the lows, just before the Clarity Act gets approved, and the bull resumes afterwards. I'd buy that. It's going to be super volatile coming few days for #Bitcoin. https://t.co/5fxtIX7e4d”
“Let the party begin. The drop is already taking place prior to the vote of the Clarity Act. I'd appreciate it if this goes <$75,700 honestly for #Bitcoin. Let's see what this brings! https://t.co/l4WEaJZmQR https://t.co/3vyVic6FXt”
“If this dips further, then anything beneath $75,700 is essentially a steal for #Bitcoin. https://t.co/aQvyIxaNJV”
“Clearly the reason why the markets are selling off. #Bitcoin is now looking to sweep the lows. It's a volatile 48 hours, as we've got the Clarity Act and the FOMC meeting. If there's a further dip, I'm willing to buy this. https://t.co/M4JU9NVCCx”
“Unfortunately, #Bitcoin isn't holding $78,000. This means that we might be looking at a deeper sweep before we continue to go up (although we're stuck in the range). It starts to look a lot like the price action we've seen at the end of August. Chop, chop, sweep of the low and then push upwards.”
“Indeed, $78,000 is the crucial trigger. Massive breakout on the horizon and this won't stop soon. #Bitcoin is in a bull market. https://t.co/DxzdevHZsL”
“I'm looking at a bullish continuation for #Bitcoin here. Mentioned it earlier, but we need to be looking at $78,000 as support. As long as that happens, we're likely going to see a strong move upwards to $81,000 from here. https://t.co/o5wpj0H6AF”