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@CryptoMichNL · CIO & Founder @MNFund_ and @MNCapital_vc | Host of @new_era_finance | Macro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading | Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 21 Oct 2026
Caller Score
69
Top 31% · #6 of 18 ranked
Scored calls
210
0 pending · 3 unresolved
Hit rate
47.3%
96 correct / 107 incorrect · 7 neutral
Avg 1h return / call
+0.27%
Avg return per call (1 hour horizon)
Following every call
+55.9%
Equal stake on all 210 calls resolved in the last 90 days
Mean alpha
+0.25%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (65) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 20% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 47.6% | 25 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −16.0% | 13 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +0.25% | 84 | 25% |
By month resolved · 1 hour horizon
539 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“$ETH vs. $BTC is looking to break upwards as it's eyeing 0.03. It might be the Clarity Act, it might be the business cycle. I'm looking at the data, and the data tells me that it's about to break out of a 4-year downtrend. Copper vs. Gold has done it already, and usually, $ETH will catch up in 3-6 months after that.”
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| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
94 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.38 | 91 | 25% |
90 days · 1h
“$ETH is ripping away, and is already at $1,925. A matter of time until we'll see: - $ETH above $2,000. - $AAVE above $100.”
“@AltcoinSherpa The most obvious longs to me are $ETH and $AAVE.”
“BIG NEWS: Iran says it will pause their attacks as long as the United States stops with its military operations. This is a great sign for the #Bitcoin and #Crypto markets and should fuel a green week ahead of us.”
“Iran has paused its strikes against the United States. The United States hasn't attacked Iran for a few days already. In the middle of this all, Brent Oil has come down by 10% and the expectations are that this will continue to fall down over the next few days. That would benefit #Bitcoin and #Crypto bigly, and should result into a strong week ahead of us.”
“#Bitcoin isn't able to break through the crucial resistance, just yet. I would assume we're going to do this, as; - Oil comes back down (it's already trading at $87 in the weekend). The fact that Bitcoin is currently trading at $65,000 despite the geopolitical concerns showcase that there's a lot of strength underlying in the markets. Break through this resistance zone and it's yet again party time.”
“I'm ultimatel monitoring what $ETH will do from this level. It's not looking bearish, neither it's bullish. The only critical point here is that it holds the support level at $1,800 and therefore, looks ready for continuation upwards. https://t.co/0kTsDV02gw”
“Incredibly boring price action on the markets here for #Bitcoin. It wouldn't be a surprise if it sweeps the entire liquidity beneath $61,000 before it continues to test higher. $67,000-68,000 remains to be the most important resistance zone and as long as that stays, the summer remains boring.”
“Don't fear the bear market. It's the ultimate opportunity to stack as much as you can on #Crypto and #Bitcoin.”
“Nothing has changed for #Bitcoin. Just stack sats and have fun in your life, the trend hasn't changed. https://t.co/f3TPqO6nJ8”
“Very strong consolidation before the next leg upwards on $ETH is about to occur. That breakout will finally bring $ETH back above 0.03. https://t.co/apMC7DFl1Y”
“Good bounce of #Bitcoin signaling that the trend continues to go up. It's holding the range low at $64,000 as support and is very likely continuing towards $70,000+. https://t.co/VHiINXkyUJ”
“#Bitcoin has dipped into the oversold territory on the Puell Multiple. The last times that we've hit those ranges, it formed the bottom shortly after. It's been the same on the bottom of 2015, 2018, 2020 and 2022. This time won't be different. https://t.co/HECfUf6VHO”
“$ETH is working on towards a continuation of the trend. Sure, there's been a harsh correction yesterday, but the entire structure of the market has remained intact. https://t.co/Fbr9hkf5S2”