@CryptoMichNL · CIO & Founder @MNFund_ and @MNCapital_vc | Host of @new_era_finance | Macro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading | Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 22 Oct 2026
Caller Score
97
Top 3% · #1 of 18 ranked
Scored calls
251
47 pending · 9 unresolved
Hit rate
78.5%
197 correct / 54 incorrect · 0 neutral
Avg 30d return / call
+11.62%
Avg return per call (30 day horizon)
Following every call
+2916.4%
Equal stake on all 251 calls resolved in the last 90 days
Mean alpha
+6.77%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (96) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 24% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 78.1% | 100 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −91.1% | 88 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +6.77% | 97 | 25% |
By month resolved · 30 days horizon
633 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“On this note: many #Altcoins are outperforming Bitcoin as BTC pairs bounce back. That's actually a strong signal for the markets. Again: #Bitcoin needs to find a low and consolidate and then we'll be good to go upwards from there with many of the altcoins. https://t.co/PrcpBIvbFx”
Think your calls are better?
Get ranked on the same rules, or challenge @CryptoMichNL head to head.
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
97 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.38 | 97 | 25% |
90 days · 30d
“#Bitcoin made a little sweep beneath the lows. Nothing convincing, as the trend is still clearly downwards. I'd prefer to see it revert back with a strong liquidity wick, which hasn't happened yet. https://t.co/Iwr4I6f1rW”
“Even though #Bitcoin is acting weak, #Altcoins aren't cascading down. That resonates with the general thesis that I expect altcoins to outperform significantly vs. Bitcoin after Bitcoin has been able to find itself a bottom and period to consolidate on. Additionally, I do think that the narrative surrounding the Clarity Act will push this even further. That's why I think that simply holding $ETH is a great bet to take.”
“This is a good start of the week for #Bitcoin. Nothing is confirmed yet, although it's very likely that we'll be breaking upwards from here through $61,000. The bullish divergences are still applicable here, indicating that there's the upside ready to come. https://t.co/NUo9bMVazu”
“Great post by Saylor on his program, and therefore, the a great bounce on $STRC today. Slowly, but surely, the fear should start to fade away and the markets should be getting back to equilibrium. https://t.co/2gqVceRFSN”
“Phenomenal chart and read on the current market status of #Bitcoin and altcoins. We're in the middle of a harsh correction on #Bitcoin, although we're also in the middle of an entire bull run on Bitcoin. The business cycle is already waking up, but Bitcoin isn't and the sole reason for that is due to the fear we've just seen and are seeing surrounding Michael Saylor's Strategy. The moment that this fades away, I wouldn't be surprised to see the markets catch up with this and move quickly.”
“I've got no interest buying $SPCX in the short-term. $SPCX is a larger version of any VC-backed #Altcoin that listed in the past few years. Short pump at the listing, and then all the early investors will seek to brokerage venues to hedge their unlocks through options. However, I'm willing to be buying $SPCX in the future, when nobody is interested in it, as I think it will be a great anchor of a portfolio. Where will this be? I don't know, it could even be as low as $20-30.”
“My personal expectation on $STRC is that we're facing the first redemption day since the introduction of the bi-weekly dividend payments. That's on the 30th of June. Probably this window has been used to maximize gains on from a larger play (for instance Jane Street) to generate a return for themselves and therefore, price should bounce back swiftly. In my opinion, to avoid any of these cascades in the future, I'd suggest Saylor should introduce daily payments of the dividend, as the incentive to move the underlying asset into another direction to generate a higher yield will be decreased.”
“I've been using many tools over the past few months, and to be honest: they aren't much better than the previous ones. One thing is clear: AI will change our lives. Massively. However, in the short-term, we're living in a bubble and the marginal extra impact of any update on any LLM right now doesn't yield the actual value. I think that we'll see money flow out of the AI sector and that this liquidity will seek for other markets to invest in --> #Bitcoin and crypto.”
“Anything beneath the $1,800 level on $ETH is: - A massive opportunity - Not really attractive on daytrading purposes. This chart respresents it beautifully, as it showcases that we're currently in a clear downtrend on the chart. However, It's making a potential strong bullish divergence on many levels and that would indicate that $ETH is going to follow Bitcoin. That wouldn't be a wonder, right? The Clarity Act approval is around the corner, and this entire event is being used as a negative instrument for the markets to continue to fall. A typical 'sell the rumor, buy the news' type of price action that we're seeing here. Other than that, sweeping the following levels would be a tremendous buying opportunity in my perspective: - Below $1,505 - Below $1,385 I don't think the markets are eager to go down more and I doubt we'll see these levels ($AAVE and other protocols are already taking of). I much rather see a clear breakthrough at $1,800 and see these levels as strong opportunities to be accumulating more positions.”
“I think that we're going to see more strength from the enitre $SOL ecosystem. I look at the BTC pairs to see whether there's strength within the entire industry. Technically; I think that we're going to see a strong upwards trend. ➡️ It has made a higher low. ➡️ It has made a breakout above the 21-Day MA. ➡️ It has made a higher high. That means that it's currently in buy the dip modus until proven otherwise and that would mean that we're seeing $SOL trade above $100 soon. My bet within Solana? I'm betting on $W, as I think that it's a higher beta play in the markets. Doesn't mean that I'll hold it endlessly, but my expectations are positive.”
“Nothing happened on the markets today for $BTC. Still acting around $60K, and that means: under the 200-Week MA. $STRC is trading at $75 and didn't have a massive continuation of a drop. $MSTR continues the freefall and has the lowest RSI read since the crash of Luna '22. To be honest, I think it's quite resilient that Bitcoin holds here. It would be great to see Bitcoin reclaim the levels over the coming days.”
“$STRC is bouncing back to $76. $MSTR is bouncing. #Bitcoin bouncing to $62,000+ would mean another close above the 200-Week MA and a reason to expect no further downside momentum. Everyone is short anyways, nobody is expecting a bounce, so if it happens, it can go fast.”
“I would assume we'll start to dive deeper getting closer to the US open. Why? $STRC is trading at $73 pre-market. A new low. We'll see what happens after the market opens, but I think that the price action on #Bitcoin will just repeat itself from the previous days: drop in the first hours, bounce back after that.”
“Funny enough; #Altcoins are doing quite well during this entire cascade. There are still a few days left to hold above the 200-Week MA. If that happens for #Bitcoin, I doubt we'll see a way deeper correction on the markets, as this entire fear is currently at its peak.”