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@Trader_XO · Strictly 2σ-3σ
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
21
Top 80% · #18 of 22 ranked
Scored calls
32
0 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
31.3%
5 correct / 11 incorrect · 16 neutral
Avg 1h return / call
-0.06%
Avg return per call (1 hour horizon)
Following every call
-2.0%
Equal stake on all 32 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
-0.07%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (31) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 16% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 29.2% | 3 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −2.8% | 91 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -0.07% | 27 | 25% |
By month resolved · 1 hour horizon
70 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“$BTC Update from last week Was 57s it... ? Started chipping into longs after today's failed auction below the lows. The continued inability to find acceptance beneath the 2024 value area low remains constructive for considering longs until proven otherwise. Still a decent amount of stacked supply up above to work through yet... Overall I'm looking to trade the 2024 range value area / rotational trade with the poc as the 1st objective.”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 55.6% |
45 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.15 | 12 | 25% |
All time · 1h
“I’ve had my fun swing-shorting Bitcoin from the $125k highs into the $60k area across multiple trades and key inflection points (still have a position running from 81s), while offloading most of my spot around $116k How low does it go? I couldn’t really care. I’m not here to call the bottom, just as I never called the top, some of us prefer to trade it instead... one shot... nailed. The game now shifts from pressing aggressive shorts to identifying perceived value, chipping in gradually, and adding size only once momentum confirms over the next several quarters... A couple of metrics worth observing are realized price and the 300-400 weekly MA, along with the 12/25s weekly EMAs I often talk about. As a prospective buyer... embrace the downside... If it continues.... thats future opportunity... And eventually... the next cycle begins... Wishing you all a fab and blessed weekend...”
“Really depends whether we see a cascading liquidation into resting bids here and if theres enough demand to absorb any forced selling / late selling imo... 59s is where its at - through there opens the pathway to 54s later this week - Long scenario: alternatively... maybe just maybe some short term long rotational plays... if theres enough demand.”
“$btc 64.5 > 60.5s done Intraweek rotation as per Sundays tweet traded. Swing from 81s still running until theres a reason to exit... or hedge again... will figure it out - not sure yet. Sweet Science... https://t.co/LKBt1ijOpE https://t.co/C2KG5h68Yd”
“@Innerdevcrypto Appreciated mate.”
“$BTC Pushed on slightly higher than anticipated but nevertheless was a good setup reverse side from 64s for down rotation once it traded through local s/r Would also keep a watch on equities / indices eg soxl sold off aggresively during Asia session (eth) - cash session will be telling imo.”
“$BTC Pushed on slightly higher than anticipated but nevertheless was a good setup reverse side from 64s for down rotation once it traded through local s/r Would also keep a watch on equities / indices eg soxl sold off aggresively during Asia session (eth) - cash session will be telling imo.”
“$SOL The last time I traded this was in Jan/Feb- not been interested since... Having sold/shorted pretty much every significant high on solana in 2025 - there's nothing worth while swing shorting imo - but do believe it eventually slides lower. Major resistance at the 12/25 weekly bands.. I'll pick up spot when the bands / structure bases out and mometum is to the upside...”
“bitcoin:native Leaning towards price continuing to trade developing Value for the week aheah - 64.5 <> 60.5 For me, the current weekly VWAP becomes the key pivot from here, confluent with monthly VWAP. Expectations - rotation lower - seller from higher Postioned: Remaining short from 81s with long hedge taken off - will be looking for an intraweek play lower.”
“bitcoin:native and Realized price Its been one of my favorite metrics for when I've shifted to risk off mode looking for lower prices from significant highs.. Worked for me at the respective highs Nov/Dec 2021 and once again October 2025 Any periods below have represented value... Does it repeat again...? Embrace the downside... if it continues.... thats future opportunity. And eventually... the next cycle begins...”
“I still believe Hype has a credible path to flipping Solana. That said, this isn't a Sol vs Hype debate to me. In a strong bull market, both can do exceptionally from wherever the market lows form fwiw. I've been a seller of Hype in recent weeks, but as stated previously, in the case of Hype (and Bitcoin), that capital will eventually finds its way back into accumulating more Hype and Bitcoin respectively....”
“$BTC 62s Couple of big boys in the way but lets see... https://t.co/spHuQW5vNW https://t.co/WFOmJOn1CK”
“$BTC Trading below monthly vwap... Asks were stacked from mid 66s to 68 Equally resting bids are decent, but sell flows pretty much in control for now... Losing and staying below monthly vwap is key for me to see a continuation down towards 60-62k https://t.co/8hjn7D791F https://t.co/MW5JdfRpPd”
“@trader1sz You remember harmonics and measured moves you used to cover... Look at btc previous two drop downs - measured moves... Now apply that to current peak to the next trough”
“$BTC I'll be impressed if this works its way down to 57.5 today https://t.co/ByZ4oWZS7a”