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@rektcapital · Crypto Investor/Analyst Writes RC Newsletter: https://t.co/pFp14Jbs2r Follow for level-headed insights on Bitcoin and Altcoins
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
16
Top 84% · #19 of 22 ranked
Scored calls
140
0 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
46.3%
37 correct / 43 incorrect · 60 neutral
Avg 24h return / call
+0.06%
Avg return per call (24 hour horizon)
Following every call
+8.6%
Equal stake on all 140 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
-0.02%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (43) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 31% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 43.7% | 45 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −32.7% | 58 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -0.02% | 18 | 25% |
By month resolved · 24 hours horizon
37 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“#BTC Bitcoin has Weekly Closed below ~$82200 Technically, this now positions price for a bearish retest of this level into new resistance Bitcoin would need to reclaim this level on the lower timeframes to start removing the bearish bias instilled by this latest Weekly Candle Close This level represented the May 2026 highs (red circle) and a key level for upside continuation in early 2025 (green circle), rendering it a pivotal reaction point for price $BTC #Bitcoin”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
85 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.01 | 30 | 25% |
All time · 24h
“#BTC Bitcoin has Monthly Closed above ~$82500 for September Which means Bitcoin will likely try to retest this level into new support this month A successful retest there could set up the next trend continuation History suggests this retest could get messy but let's take it one level at a time and not look too far ahead $BTC #Bitcoin”
“#BTC It's always very tempting to just assume Bitcoin will go on and produce -30% pullbacks in Bull Markets After all, deeper pullbacks afford better prices for entries But it's not about the pullback depth we desire but about the pullback depth that is reasonably probable based on where Bitcoin is in the cycle Take the previous 2022-2025 cycle: Bitcoin only saw over -30% retraces in the Post-Halving period Pre-Halving retraces were much shallower, just over -20% each time Early-stage Bull Markets offer shallow pullbacks but those pullbacks are great opportunities for the long-run $BTC #Bitcoin”
“#BTC Bitcoin is indeed rebounding right into the most recently lost old support of ~$78300, potentially as part of turning it into new resistance Turning this level into new resistance would confirm the breakdown that the latest Weekly Close kickstarted Invalidation starts with a reclaim of ~$78300 back into support $BTC #Bitcoin”
“#BTC Bitcoin has Weekly Closed below the 50-week EMA (purple) Technically, this could set price up for a bearish retest of the 50-week EMA into new resistance That said, at this very moment price is trying to reclaim the EMA If this price action ends as an upside wick by the end of the week, this will have been a bearish retest to confirm the breakdown from the 50-week EMA $BTC #Bitcoin”
“#BTC Every time Bitcoin produced a fake-breakout (red circle) from a price cluster (orange), price would revert back to the cluster And whenever that would happen, Bitcoin would Weekly Close beneath the Cluster Low and bearish retest it into new resistance to confirm additional downside (blue circles) Should Bitcoin reject at its Macro Downtrend and local top here at ~current prices... Then bearish retesting either of the levels located in the future blue circles ($72400 & $66200) would confirm additional downside lower Bearish retest of $72400 could send price into the high mid-$60,000s And bearish retest of $66200 could send price into the low $60,000s $BTC #Bitcoin”
“#BTC Bitcoin has Weekly Closed beneath the Lower High (black) once again, technically solidifying it as resistance for yet another consecutive week $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/DtK3nQB0IJ https://t.co/29y6nU4kRr”
“#BTC As the Weekly Close approaches, Bitcoin is trying to press even more against the Lower High resistance (black) Generally, Bitcoin would need to Weekly Close above the blue level and successfully retest it as support to rally higher from here Because such a Weekly Close would invalidate the multi-week Lower High dating to early June That said, at this moment, at a snapshot, Bitcoin is still at Lower Highs (black) and still beneath the Summer Range Resistance (blue) Once again, history suggests Bitcoin will produce limited upside from here and rollover in the second half of August $BTC #Bitcoin”
“#BTC The 50-Month EMA (purple) continues to reject Bitcoin as we approach the new month of August It's likely price will try to maintain these highs in the early stages of August but history suggests price could rollover just like it did in 2022 $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/vhqur4GL4j https://t.co/TaXqMNX4xo”
“#BTC If you believe the Bitcoin Bear Market bottom is in already... That means you believe some of the following: - The Bear Market has shortened to just 73% of the usual time it takes for Bitcoin to bottom - That there has been a drastic shallowing across Bear Market corrections by ~23% (whereas the historical difference in shallowing across Bear Cycles has been up to ~10%) Effectively, the belief of "the Bear Market bottom is already in" assumes an invalidation of certain long-standing principles in Bitcoin market cycles which is probabilistically unlikely until proven otherwise (i.e. via price breach of Macro Lower Highs) $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin”
“Looks like #BTC is rejecting from the 50-Month EMA $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/lzyma7Z5cQ”
“#BTC Bitcoin is showing initial signs of rejection from the 50-Month EMA (purple), closely mimicking 2022 historical price tendencies at this very moment in the cycle $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/gR5K0hIQBk https://t.co/tMHSdojFiJ”
“#BTC If history repeats, things are likely going to pick up for Bitcoin and its Summer relief rally in the second half of July $BTC #Bitcoin”
“During this Summer Relief Rally... Bitcoin will rally high enough to convince you that the Bear Market is over And then it will resume its downtrend $BTC #BTC #Bitcoin”
“You survived the -84.5% #BTC Bear Market in 2018 You survived the -63% $BTC crash in March 2020 You survived the -53% BTC crash in May 2021 You survived the -77% BTC Bear Market in 2022 You'll survive this 2026 Bear Market as well #Crypto #Bitcoin”