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@travladd · Futures trader. Partner of @okx | Business: https://t.co/5Tj83UaVch | Not financial advice.
Coverage 23 Apr 2026 – 21 Oct 2026
Caller Score
75
Top 25% · #6 of 22 ranked
Scored calls
94
0 pending · 13 unresolved
Hit rate
49.5%
46 correct / 47 incorrect · 1 neutral
Avg 4h return / call
+1.75%
Avg return per call (4 hour horizon)
Following every call
+164.4%
Equal stake on all 94 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
+1.83%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (65) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 10% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 50.0% | 42 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −41.5% | 18 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +1.83% | 94 | 25% |
By month resolved · 4 hours horizon
195 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“I’m bullish on $ANSEM, it was a local bottom estimate.”
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| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 75.0% |
64 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.23 | 82 | 25% |
All time · 4h
“They told you it wouldn't happen, I told you before it happened we are not the same. $ANSEM https://t.co/Owke5U6b2M https://t.co/HCA25bXFiA”
“$KAS has lots of bullish FVG's below current price and bearish above current price. True accumulation range for a fair LOCAL price. BTC bottom near, Kas bottom near. The most undervalued crptocurrency. https://t.co/BzLeWHWWXz”
“@KaspaDanijel Will look at chart later, community is too big for 0 and the tech is too good for it, that says there is a bottom, just where. I see btc hitting 38k, so i do not see kas falling below 1 cent at worst case and that would be a capitulation wick, so hardly lasts.”
“I expect $ANSEM to consolidate between approximately 200-270M, with capitualtion towards the 200M zone, then a sharp reversal. Many eyes are on this waiting for the 'bottom', many have been waiting for entries, accumulation, capitulation, reversal. New highs will come for ANSEM in my opinion.”
“$BTC about to try $70,500 with as high as around $73,000. Then I believe the last leg down comes before entering a bull market. Keep a close eye on how price acts around $73,000 in case the bottom is already in. History says otherwise but the chart tells! https://t.co/Unb82EgmYF”
“@crypto_birb Likely goes to 66, maybe an overextended daily on that wick and then to new lows. Probably takes 2 weeks or so of chop to hit the high and then 3 weeks to the capitulation, what do you think?”
“@smarttrad3r Agree with this I don’t have an exact local top, somewhere between 65 and 70. But very confident the bottom isn’t in.”
“bitcoin:native update: Looks like $58.5k hit today, 58k looking very likely too. $58k zone needs to hold, or the next leg lower begins. Pretty sure $58k at a minimum hits today to at least sweep liquidity. https://t.co/BjECJYiZnE”
“Good morning gang! $BTC looks very likely to hit $58.8k today, where it needs to hold. https://t.co/ooy67JiqLM”
“@TedPillows Liquidity hunt at 61.7, maybe 63 then capitulation I think.”
“@seth_fin Probably grab some liquidity 61.7-62.5 before lower, waterfall can stay closed for now 🤣”
“@CryptoBullGod 38-42 most likely imo”
“bitcoin:native Possible sweep of liqidity at around 61.8, then contination lower. https://t.co/PpjiqRFOCb”
“Decision time, Bitcoin on life support. $BTC https://t.co/kpShDUSGAP”