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@Excellion · Working on nation-state #Bitcoin adoption. CEO @JAN3com, building @AquaBitcoin, CEO @Pixelmatic & creator of @InfiniteFleet. Might be in HBO's #MoneyElectric.
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
89
Top 11% · #3 of 22 ranked
Scored calls
26
0 pending · 2 unresolved
Hit rate
71.4%
10 correct / 4 incorrect · 12 neutral
Avg 1h return / call
+0.16%
Avg return per call (1 hour horizon)
Following every call
+4.0%
Equal stake on all 26 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
+0.14%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (76) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 8% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 71.5% | 94 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −0.8% | 97 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +0.14% | 58 | 25% |
By month resolved · 1 hour horizon
10 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“Bitcoin's next leg up will be the most hated rally of all time. Everyone had the opportunity to buy the dip but didn't because they were waiting for $40k in October.”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 59.3% |
48 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.31 | 82 | 25% |
All time · 1h
“@TheBTCTherapist Just the usual crypto pump and dump. Look at $DOGE and you’ll know where it ends.”
“@TheBTCTherapist Just the usual crypto pump and dump. Look at $DOGE and you’ll know where it ends.”
“The fiat system is failing. Their only job is to convince you everything is fine. It’s not. It can’t be fixed. By the time everyone sees it and buys Bitcoin, BTC will be insanely expensive. Buy bitcoin:native today.”
“I’ve never been more bullish on Bitcoin. https://t.co/4gvxuO5V4g”
“@BTCTimescom @Strive @_ALCPB I remain bullish.”
“US debt will hit 1 QUADRILLION dollars by 2070. That's 1,000 trillion dollars. Growing at 7.6% per year, that's $87,685 added every second. Interest alone is now $981 billion per year. #Bitcoin is undervalued.”
“Bitcoin is so cheap right now. It won’t last.”
“You can still buy 34k Bitcoin for just a couple billion fiat dollars. Early. https://t.co/JlGbkYuCmV”
“@RichardByworth Strategy’s average price per BTC is the new floor.”