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@rektcapital · Crypto Investor/Analyst Writes RC Newsletter: https://t.co/pFp14Jbs2r Follow for level-headed insights on Bitcoin and Altcoins
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
9
Top 91% · #20 of 22 ranked
Scored calls
136
4 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
42.3%
33 correct / 45 incorrect · 58 neutral
Avg 7d return / call
-1.23%
Avg return per call (7 day horizon)
Following every call
-167.0%
Equal stake on all 136 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
-1.50%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (20) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 32% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 39.8% | 6 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −213.8% | 18 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -1.50% | 12 | 25% |
By month resolved · 7 days horizon
33 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“#BTC Bitcoin has Weekly Closed beneath the Lower High (black) once again, technically solidifying it as resistance for yet another consecutive week $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/DtK3nQB0IJ https://t.co/29y6nU4kRr”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
85 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.29 | 0 | 25% |
All time · 7d
“#BTC As the Weekly Close approaches, Bitcoin is trying to press even more against the Lower High resistance (black) Generally, Bitcoin would need to Weekly Close above the blue level and successfully retest it as support to rally higher from here Because such a Weekly Close would invalidate the multi-week Lower High dating to early June That said, at this moment, at a snapshot, Bitcoin is still at Lower Highs (black) and still beneath the Summer Range Resistance (blue) Once again, history suggests Bitcoin will produce limited upside from here and rollover in the second half of August $BTC #Bitcoin”
“#BTC The Weekly Close is near and Bitcoin has only produced a +3% bounce from the orange level and is rejecting at the Lower Highs As a result, the idea of a weakening support at ~$63300 (orange) is still in play $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/CzGWaFbluc https://t.co/Ma0rBIxeow”
“People are getting increasingly bullish on #BTC Meanwhile Bitcoin is doing exactly what it tends to do at this moment in the cycle „It's likely price will try to maintain these highs in the early stages of August but history suggests price could rollover just like it did in 2022” $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin”
“#BTC Bitcoin continues to try to press into the July highs and the 50-Month EMA This is exactly what Bitcoin did in August 2022 Until Bitcoin clearly reclaims the 50 EMA as support, BTC is technically positioned to repeat 2022 history $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/yTVme90EMm”
“#BTC The seller volume continues to flood in Meanwhile, price is still hovering beneath the confluent resistance that are the February/March lows (blue) and the emerging Lower High (black) More, Bitcoin is experiencing price compression due to price being sandwiched between the 200-week SMA (orange) and aforementioned resistances Continued price compression here is unsustainable and will eventually force major volatility And if the seller volume keeps coming in at this rate, then there'll likely be a breakout on seller volume to precede a rejection from this local resistance area $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin”
“#BTC Bitcoin will likely go up for as long as needed to convince as many people as possible of a new Bull Run beginning And then it will pullback to continue its Bear Market $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin”
“#BTC The 200-week SMA (orange) continues to act as support in the short-term This is the second consecutive week that price has been holding the SMA as support $BTC #Bitcoin https://t.co/ZU8MV04MQ1 https://t.co/uyWh1jY9cC”
“#BTC If history repeats, things are likely going to pick up for Bitcoin and its Summer relief rally in the second half of July $BTC #Bitcoin”
“#BTC Red June Green July Red August This is what Bitcoin price history suggests Bitcoin could possibly see some downside wicking below the new Monthly Open in early July But history suggests price should be able expand to the upside as the month progresses $BTC #Bitcoin”
“There's no need to panic Flowers need rain to grow Bitcoin needs downside to enable future upside #BTC $BTC #Bitcoin”
“#BTC This is still the game plan for the rest of the Summer Once June Monthly Closes, we'll know from which price July will be able to potentially spring into a post-breakdown relief rally Macro-wise, this is still looking very 2022-esque whereby any relief would see the 50-Month EMA (purple) turn into new resistance $BTC #Bitcoin”
“@Truecrypto Agreed. Though even if somehow BTC Monthly Closes above the 50M EMA, price would still likely form another Lower High before a potential breakdown from the EMA”
“#BTC At this stage, if June Monthly Closes just like this at $62k then that would confirm the breakdown from the 50-Month EMA So it July turns into a green month, then that could see price turn the 50 EMA into new resistance Then August would cancel out July and send Bitcoin into downside continuation $BTC #Bitcoin”
“#BTC If history repeats for Bitcoin, then the pattern may be as follows for next couple of months: June ends as a red month July could be green in response And August could therefore be red to cancel out July's upside completely $BTC #Bitcoin”